Just note well that IF Trump wins, then this and other predictions aren’t “wrong”. In 20% of cases, Trump IS predicted to win.
Fuck me. If the prediction tells you that Trump will win 20% of the time, and he wins two elections, then the prediction is useless. We aren't running 100 elections. You have two fucking shots. Just stating arbitrary probability stats isn't productive or useful. Arguing over whether or not it's right/wrong only serves to help the brand of a bitch ass nerd who makes money off convincing people that going "durr Trump will win 20/100 elections" is useful.
If the wonky fucks are going to jerk off to stats at least learn how to interpret and apply them.
Fuck me. If the prediction tells you that Trump will win 20% of the time, and he wins two elections, then the prediction is useless. We aren't running 100 elections. You have two fucking shots. Just stating arbitrary probability stats isn't productive or useful. Arguing over whether or not it's right/wrong only serves to help the brand of a bitch ass nerd who makes money off convincing people that going "durr Trump will win 20/100 elections" is useful.
If the wonky fucks are going to jerk off to stats at least learn how to interpret and apply them.
yeah 20%*30% is 6% lol
It's useless if you don't understand probability I guess.