Image is of a Hezbollah missile attack on a military camp west of Jenin.
The situation between Hezbollah and Israel is rapidly escalating, with massive bombing campaigns on southern Lebanon by Israel predominantly on civilians (as the tunnels in South Lebanon are mostly unreachable to the Zionists, just like in Gaza), while Hezbollah and its allies respond with missile attacks predominantly on Israeli military facilities. Israel is spreading an evacuation order to the residents of southern Lebanese villages while also bombing their routes of escape and civilian infrastructure, similar to a terror tactic used widely in Gaza.
Northern Israel is currently under military censorship to hide their losses, so we get very little information other than what the Resistance provides and what videos and images get through the censors.
I don't know if Israel will dare a ground incursion soon, but it seems fairly likely in the coming days or weeks.
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Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
It's just the West hyping up the Zionist entity's alleged technological prowess per usual. One has to wonder why they were able to build the "vast target bank" for Hezbollah but not for Hamas. Gaza is under the jurisdiction of the Zionist entity, so you would think that the IOF would have an even bigger database and more extensive surveillance targeted at Hamas. And unless FT is trotted out the tired "uh aktually the IDF allowed October 7th to happen so they can have an excuse to genocide Palestinians" talking point, one has to wonder how their alleged technological capabilities failed to account for a bunch of hang gliders flying over walls.
This is another tired talking point about Netanyahu getting push back from Biden. They are still pushing this fiction that Biden doesn't like Netanyahu and is preventing Netanyahu from going full Khorne on the Palestinians. This dovetails nicely to a tired blue MAGA talking point about Harris being able to control Netanyahu while Trump will let go of Netanyahu's leash.
IMHO, the real reason why they were able to locate Nasrallah is the combination of moles/traitors within Hezbollah and Hezbollah slipping at an inopportune time. If they really knew where Nasrallah was at like they said, they would've long since killed him already regardless of whether al Aqsa Flood even happened.
EDIT: And at a most fundamental level, you don't tell the enemy how you actually gave them the L.
If you were able to exploit a network vulnerability, you tell the world that you did it because you filled their org with moles and how everyone within the org has low morale and will betray the org at a low price.
If you were able to use moles to feed you intel, you tell the world how your team of super hackers hacked every single one of their devices and gave them spyware.
The point is to get your enemy to go on a wild goose chase while you can continue to exploit their vulnerability over and over again. Hezbollah's phones are probably fine. But they have a mole infestation and need to begin purging people.
Everybody including Nasrallah knew that many devices could be used as listening devices, hence the several warnings about it over the years to the Lebanese population. While the pager terrorist attack does represent a supply chain issue in terms of physical attacks, there is a zero percent chance that even half the tech wizardry being discussed there would have actually affected Hezbollah because they have countermeasures (not allowing phones, using local codes instead of relying on breakable/expensive encryption, etc). We already know that Israeli operations to try and bomb Hezbollah missile sites have been unsuccessful because they don't actually know shit about fuck, and they either bomb empty fields (some animal moving fucked with their almighty AI satellite which compares before/after images I guess?) or Hezbollah just... moves them away, hours or days before the Israeli operation even happens, hence that successful attack by Hezbollah a couple months ago while a hundred Israeli jets flew overhead.
I agree that getting Nasrallah was probably the result of a mole, combined with a misplaced sense of security due to Iran's little deal and being in a vulnerable place, possibly for convenience so that Iran's military official could more easily access it (because it's in Beirut and not closer to the south). Clearly that bunker wasn't deep enough; if Hamas can manage to build bunker-buster resistant tunnels (and hide their location well enough so that Israel still has no idea what it's doing in Gaza a year into the war) then so can Hezbollah.
In the past a lot of this high-tech AI panopticon stuff has turned out to be much less impressive old school HUMINT - Bribing someone or buying a guy drinks in a bar and asking about his day.
Can't emphasize this enough; Nobody talks, everybody walks.
It does scare me, though; In the USA many, many middle income neighborhoods are full of Amazon cameras that send data god knows where.
Obviously there are flairs here, but better to assume those capabilities exist, and behave extremely normally around smart devices if you are doing cool stuff
I would not overlook the possibility that the moles/opsec slipups might have also been on the Iranian side.