Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden opened up a 21 percent national lead over President Donald Trump in the three days following news of Trump's positive COVID-19 test result, according to a new poll.
But I hate to underestimate the dark side of the force.
Trump supporters are a monolith, they're gonna vote for him no matter what.
I'm more talking independents/third parties that DON'T openly support Trump in public but might vote for him ("the depressed Sanders voters" as the media wants to call them which is so very wrong, but...), those voters are the ones that are like "well if I vote for him and he dies from the virus, that means Pence and... no."
i dont think such rightwing "independents" are a particularly relevant grouping in this election. those sorts of people are all more or less nevertrump sorts, and any remainder is unlikely to be statistically meaningful.
anyone thats left leaning isnt voting for trump. unless theyre up their own ass about accelerationism, at which point they might as well just become a fascist, because itll help prove the point or whatever
the issue is, as you said, a monolith. his being at deaths door simply wont sway the people that are voting for him
If Trump actually died, Pence would win in an absolute landslide, no question. The reason Biden is on track to win bigly is because old people really, really, REALLY are obsessed with decorum. Most of Trump's base is 45-65, cynical Gen Xers. People in their 70s are still wed to the noble statesmen, rational moderate image. Biden fits that to a T, and looking like the Crypt keeper and losing his mind doesn't matter because those older voters also look like death and are losing their minds
Trump supporters are a monolith, they're gonna vote for him no matter what.
I'm more talking independents/third parties that DON'T openly support Trump in public but might vote for him ("the depressed Sanders voters" as the media wants to call them which is so very wrong, but...), those voters are the ones that are like "well if I vote for him and he dies from the virus, that means Pence and... no."
i dont think such rightwing "independents" are a particularly relevant grouping in this election. those sorts of people are all more or less nevertrump sorts, and any remainder is unlikely to be statistically meaningful.
anyone thats left leaning isnt voting for trump. unless theyre up their own ass about accelerationism, at which point they might as well just become a fascist, because itll help prove the point or whatever
the issue is, as you said, a monolith. his being at deaths door simply wont sway the people that are voting for him
If Trump actually died, Pence would win in an absolute landslide, no question. The reason Biden is on track to win bigly is because old people really, really, REALLY are obsessed with decorum. Most of Trump's base is 45-65, cynical Gen Xers. People in their 70s are still wed to the noble statesmen, rational moderate image. Biden fits that to a T, and looking like the Crypt keeper and losing his mind doesn't matter because those older voters also look like death and are losing their minds
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