Saw this thread, and it really hit a chord with me, as these similar fears tend to constantly weigh on me (for various reasons- being trans, ethnic Chinese, commie, etc).
I think we all (leftists, but also just most minorities) know, shit is bad and will get worse, it's just a question of how bad it will get. People mention it offhand without usually going further into the details, and similarly in other spaces - non-leftist ones as well, for instance Asian diasporic and LGBT spaces in my experience, these fears come up, but ultimately we keep the bulk of our concerns to ourselves. What are our expectations here, for the west? Not just for the US, but the Anglosphere and Europe?
I just think that a white-supremacist fascist movement—the only kind I can imagine in America—would have a hard time going fully mask off and saying "okay we're doing white-supremacist fascism now" in a country where 25% of the population are not white and a lot of people are armed. And I think they would need to be mask-off fascist if they wanted to do mask-off fascist things like round up trans
*I wouldn’t be surprised to see, within electoral neoliberalism, patchwork fascist control at the state and county levels, pushing things as far as they can, like Florida but worse, with police increasingly turning a blind eye to transphobic attacks.
A lot of modern fascists are more concerned with culture than skin culture. If you're the right kind of Christian, who uses the right cultural signifiers and dresses the right way, skin color can usually be forgiven by these people, at least for the sake of forging a political alliance.
Maybe a lot, but I don’t know the actual fraction they make up among fascists, or how important their fraction is in terms of their potential power in the future. The proud boys followed Enrique Tarrio but they also dogwhistle about great replacement and are overwhelmingly white. My big assumption is that movements full of white supremacists will struggle to recruit POC, but maybe I’m wrong about that, or maybe Christian patriarchy will overtake white supremacism as the main driver of fascism in America. I don’t know. In a country this racist, I have a hard time imagining it.