this is the main reason right here. people can lie to polls but democrats vote by mail more than republicans and early / mail voting is just so far ahead
That doesn't mean much. The Democrats who voted on Election Day are voting by mail, that doesn't mean the final number will change because of that.
The Republicans who voted on Election Day and aren't voting by mail will still vote on Election Day. Again, the final number isn't changed.
Plus, Dems voting by mail = Trump looking like a clear winner on election night = a legal challenge at the "suspicious" Biden bump = Dems folding and letting Trump make himself the winner.
Clinton had a 70% chance of winning, it was not crazy for a presidential election
Early voting is up like 80x compared to 2016
this is the main reason right here. people can lie to polls but democrats vote by mail more than republicans and early / mail voting is just so far ahead
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That doesn't mean much. The Democrats who voted on Election Day are voting by mail, that doesn't mean the final number will change because of that.
The Republicans who voted on Election Day and aren't voting by mail will still vote on Election Day. Again, the final number isn't changed.
Plus, Dems voting by mail = Trump looking like a clear winner on election night = a legal challenge at the "suspicious" Biden bump = Dems folding and letting Trump make himself the winner.
Biden will not be President.
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