I'm confused as to what you mean? Cases are recorded through positive tests sent to the CDC. (maybe after going to the white house first? I can't remember if they stopped doing that or not).
Testing requirements vary from state to state, but that's how cases are detected and how they derive the numbers.
I mean, if tests are done by random sampling, contact tracing, or by mass testing a la Chinese cities, then you get a whole lot of asymptomatics registering as cases. If you only test when people present at hospital, you get only the worst cases.
Assuming a mortality rate of 0.4%, it’s approximately 352 deaths.
Is mortality down to .4%? I that it was still around 3%?
Case fatality rate is 2.7%. KiaKaha I think is referencing the infection fatality rate, which adjusts for undiagnosed cases.
But these are known cases so the best estimate for future deaths is the CFR. So we're looking at 2400 deaths
Depends. It gets lower if you account for all the asymptomatic cases.
Sure but this is odd known cases so like the person above said since these are known cases it's not going to be 0.4% of those.
Depends how the cases were detected—but yeah the 0.4% was being optimistic.
I'm confused as to what you mean? Cases are recorded through positive tests sent to the CDC. (maybe after going to the white house first? I can't remember if they stopped doing that or not).
Testing requirements vary from state to state, but that's how cases are detected and how they derive the numbers.
I mean, if tests are done by random sampling, contact tracing, or by mass testing a la Chinese cities, then you get a whole lot of asymptomatics registering as cases. If you only test when people present at hospital, you get only the worst cases.
Yes, but the west outside of a handful of studies only tests when people show symptoms and don't do mass testing on any scale.
Its 3% for over 65-s. It's never been 3% for all positive cases
It was like 7% early on for known cases.