Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.
In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.
Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.
It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.
After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.
Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Links and Stuff
The bulletins site is down.
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can.
Resources For Understanding The War
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
[Germany] The right wing magazine Focus claims Sahra Wagenknecht has decided to split from the left party and found her own thing after the Hessian and Bavarian election.
Great, a PatSoc party with mass appeal and willing to work with the fascists.
As for DIE LINKE, it's dead. Now the libs in the party leadership will have free reign to do whatever they want and election results like below 1% in Bavaria as I'm fearing are just gonna mean loss of manpower, money, infrastructure, funding to leftist projects via think tanks etc.
I thought the point of a Wagenknecht party was that it could take votes FROM the afd (and others due to her being a popular figure), has she ever actually said that she'd work with that party?
Unless by "fascists" you mean anyone not very socially liberal, in that case I agree it's my understanding that she wouldn't close her party's ranks to social conservatives.
I remember seeing a tweet a few weeks ago with Die Linke polling a 5% (as they have for years) saying "what's even the point of die linke?" and...yeah sad to think they won't even be able to hold on to what little they have because of this split
I admit I was panicking somewhat when I wrote this, but there's secondary reasons why it would be worrisome.
Primarily, the voter potential of the Wagenknecht party does indeed come from AfD supporters and to a smaller degree LINKE members, but also FDP supporters (that's a weird one, but the polls do state 19% of the would consider it!). A party is more than just leadership figures. It would mean local candidates for city councils, state parliaments etc. What do you think would happen if AfD supporters started streaming in? The party would drift far to the right and from a party supposedly composed of leftists you'd get wonderful people like some with dubious views on the Third Reich, anti-vaxxers, conspiracy theorists, etc. What party would these people see as a natural ally? The "woke" left? Or the party which they left for Wagenknecht?
LINKE has lost basically all its voterbase except for lesser evilist socialists, thus the permanent 5%, but the current situation is a sinking ship.
As for myself, no idea what to do. Ditch the party once the libs inevitably start pushing through stuff like "NATO is based, actually" probably, but the only things semi-close are a washed up DKP which is probably to the right of the local LINKE chapter or the MLPD - and I'm not exactly a fan of a party where the chairman and his family have firm grasp on the party, which has been known for calling cops on leftists and with whom I've had questionable conversations with in the past.
While I don't think a Wagenknecht party would be considered 'left-wing,' I'm still skeptical that they would ally themselves with the AfD in the beginning. Their primary selling point appears to be that they are a populist party distinct from the AfD. This provides them with plausible deniability, even if they end up positioned to the right of the AfD at some point. However, an alliance with the AfD could potentially emerge eventually, but I doubt they would open with that.
My two cents and pure speculation: If Wagenknecht creates a party, and it gains any traction, Die Linke is done for. While it's a wait-and-see situation, I can envision Wagenknecht succeeding. As you said, I'm not entirely sure if it would make sense for Wagenknecht to align herself with the AfD, given that she would probably try to bring on board those who find the AfD distasteful (unless she intends to govern in a red/brown alliance at some point in the future after the mainstream political parties finally decline... which seems a bit unlikely, though). I think a Wagenknecht party could be a very potent cocktail of populism, but, as I said, it's a wait-and-see situation.
I'll believe it when I see it. Not saying Wagenknecht cant be very successful but 25% straight out of the gate seems absolutely massive.
It's Thüringen. In the West it's probably less
Btw Wangenknecht is the only left-wing person my blue collar family is talking about. Die LINKE has been radiosilent and instantly bowed to muh putler russia bad when the war started. Despite the very big bloc of germans that are not rapidly anti-russia.