1: The EU has just signed a trade agreement with China, the USA is out of the TPPA, and the South and East Asian regions have integrated via RCEP. The USA’s capital markets are increasingly investing in China.
2: China’s state-led stimulus is literally the only thing that saved the global system from collapse after 2008. As the only major economy with positive growth in 2020, it’ll be key for Post-Covid recovery. There’s also the small fact that it has all the factories of the world. Any attempt to freeze it out via sanctions will cause just as much if not more unrest domestically in the aggressor countries, including within the capitalist class.
3: China will take one look at the USSR under Gorbachev and tell them to fuck off.
4: This promise wasn’t even followed through with for Hong Kong, let alone Syria. Also, Covid’s still a thing. People would rather ride out within China than flee, short of a civil war.
5: So India’s taking the bulk of the imaginary refugees? That’s gonna go down real well in a nascent fascist country.
6: Which borders are they going to militarily force open? Open up a map and point for me. India? It’s the Himalayas. Nepal, Laos, or Pakistan? Friendly. Mongolia or Bhutan? Neutral buffer states. Russia or North Korea? Lol. The various Stans around Xinjiang? It’s across a desert. The only option is Vietnam, and it’d neither be thrilled about an influx of Chinese refugees, nor about outright allying with the USA. That’s setting aside the difficulty of actually having a ‘military intervention’ against a near peer competitor on its home turf. We’re literally in ‘proposing a land war in Asia’ territory.
These are the sorts of fantasies that barely held up a decade ago. Now that Syria, Iran, Venezuela and the DPRK have withstood the onslaught, it’s laughable.
This is so out of touch with reality it’s funny.
1: The EU has just signed a trade agreement with China, the USA is out of the TPPA, and the South and East Asian regions have integrated via RCEP. The USA’s capital markets are increasingly investing in China.
2: China’s state-led stimulus is literally the only thing that saved the global system from collapse after 2008. As the only major economy with positive growth in 2020, it’ll be key for Post-Covid recovery. There’s also the small fact that it has all the factories of the world. Any attempt to freeze it out via sanctions will cause just as much if not more unrest domestically in the aggressor countries, including within the capitalist class.
3: China will take one look at the USSR under Gorbachev and tell them to fuck off.
4: This promise wasn’t even followed through with for Hong Kong, let alone Syria. Also, Covid’s still a thing. People would rather ride out within China than flee, short of a civil war.
5: So India’s taking the bulk of the imaginary refugees? That’s gonna go down real well in a nascent fascist country.
6: Which borders are they going to militarily force open? Open up a map and point for me. India? It’s the Himalayas. Nepal, Laos, or Pakistan? Friendly. Mongolia or Bhutan? Neutral buffer states. Russia or North Korea? Lol. The various Stans around Xinjiang? It’s across a desert. The only option is Vietnam, and it’d neither be thrilled about an influx of Chinese refugees, nor about outright allying with the USA. That’s setting aside the difficulty of actually having a ‘military intervention’ against a near peer competitor on its home turf. We’re literally in ‘proposing a land war in Asia’ territory.
These are the sorts of fantasies that barely held up a decade ago. Now that Syria, Iran, Venezuela and the DPRK have withstood the onslaught, it’s laughable.
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