For me the big question is the Tblisi suburbs. We know Abkhazia is solidly red and I don't think that's changing tonight. Also hearing word that some people are gonna vote Republican to try to get a moderating force that can compromise with Gakharia, but no idea how many people that is. Who ya got?

    • RowPin [they/them]
      ·
      4 years ago

      https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/forecast-georgia-senate-runoff.html

      I think this takes in to account how Democratic/Republican the remaining uncounted counties are.

      Both Democrats remain heavily favored, despite their deficit in the tabulated vote. They’re favored to win the vote left to be counted by 9 to 10 points.

      e: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346647684900417536

      I've seen enough. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) in GA's special Senate runoff. #GASEN

      • QuillQuote [they/them]
        ·
        4 years ago

        I remember watching the forecasts on these slide back and forth during the primary, I don't buy it, but hope I'm wrong because I am so desperately needy for the maga cope

        • zangorn [none/use name]
          ·
          4 years ago

          The county map shows which districts have votes remaining to count, and its almost entirely Cobb and Dekalb counties. If the estimated 42% reporting is accurate, with a 100k vote lead, then the remaining 58% is going to grow the Democrat lead by at least 100k. That puts them over, and there is a similar story in a few other smaller counties, which are all heavily Democrat. I'm going to sleep optimistic.

          https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/results-georgia-runoffs.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage