Same as 2016

  • hexaflexagonbear [he/him]
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    edit-2
    4 years ago

    That doesn't sound right, Biden's been leading Hillary's lead in aggregate polling. I guess there must've been significant changes to their model?

    • Biggay [he/him, comrade/them]
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      4 years ago

      Significant changes plus I wager that COVID is just a huge wrench in how turnout might go, along with the fact that the states where trump could win, he might only squeak by, or take by large numbers.

    • PeterTheAverage [he/him]
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      4 years ago

      Big increase in uncertainty because who the hell knows how COVID will affect voter turnout. Though the model does say if the election were held tomorrow Biden's chances would be 93%.

    • HarrietTubman [he/him,any]
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      4 years ago

      Yes, it was complete bullshit before now it's complete bullshit but in 2020