CanYouFeelItMrKrabs [any, he/him] to Main • 4 years ago538 gives Trump a 30% chance of winningexternal-linkmessage-square149 fedilinkarrow-up1109file-text
arrow-up1109external-link538 gives Trump a 30% chance of winningCanYouFeelItMrKrabs [any, he/him] to Main • 4 years agomessage-square149 Commentsfedilinkfile-text
minus-squareDasKarlBarx [he/him,comrade/them]hexbear2arrow-down1·4 years agoNo shit, Einstein. My minor was in stats. Just because some dork with glasses can work an excel spreadsheet doesn't make him a good statistician not does it mean that his models are correct. link
minus-squarea_blanqui_slate [none/use name, any]hexbear1·4 years agoHave they done statistical analyses on how meaningful a statistical prediction is this far out from the election? link
minus-squarePeterTheAverage [he/him]hexbear2·4 years agoThe model says if the election were held tomorrow Biden's chances would be 93%. link
minus-squarea_blanqui_slate [none/use name, any]hexbear1·4 years agoI can't think of a more meaningless metric. link
minus-squareCanYouFeelItMrKrabs [any, he/him]hexagonhexbear2·edit-24 years agoWhat if the election happened yesterday link
minus-squarea_blanqui_slate [none/use name, any]hexbear1·4 years agoThen hopefully your model will take that information into account. link
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No shit, Einstein. My minor was in stats.
Just because some dork with glasses can work an excel spreadsheet doesn't make him a good statistician not does it mean that his models are correct.
Have they done statistical analyses on how meaningful a statistical prediction is this far out from the election?
The model says if the election were held tomorrow Biden's chances would be 93%.
I can't think of a more meaningless metric.
What if the election happened yesterday
Then hopefully your model will take that information into account.