I think a significantly greater portion of them will just go further down into their cult rabbit hole, but yes, some will, but probably mostly younger folks who just have lacked exposure to the left and have assumed liberals are the left their whole lives. It gets really hard to change adults minds in this country because as our lives become more atomized people cling really tight to those they have formed bonds with, and are less willing to abandon their worldview.
IMO MPD abandoning their precinct was on purpose.
https://twitter.com/webster/status/1267575768801918976
So, I do think both incidents are similar, but in a different way than you are implying. They are similar because both events were allowed to happen because they were useful to power. But I'm also very stupid and cynical so probably completely off base.