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Cake day: June 23rd, 2023

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  • This is absolute proof that the US knows China won't invade. If the US thought there was even a slight chance that the invasion would happen, they would have not sent garbage. Especially since they keep calling Taiwan the unsinkable carrier and how important Taiwan is to protect the first island chain. So the only 2 possibilities are that:

    1. It's not actually important to the first island chain (which we know it is, that's why China even cares about it at all).

    2. US has no concern what so ever of China invading.

    So now we know it's absolutely the US trying to start a conflict with China to invade Taiwan. They want this kind of news to leak out so China would be emboldened to attack.

    *Edit: And if anyone says it's about semiconductors, you don't understand how semiconductor manufacturing works. Any violent conflict would pretty much result in a total destruction of the semiconductor factory.



  • Except by your own argument it really is. The UK has blocked many sites for many reasons. However, none of those reasons are for crowd control. Your example is ironically proof of the statement. This is the first time a western nation has banned media for the explicit purpose of quelling a protest and suppressing speech. Your example is a government banning a site not to quell a protest or to suppress speech, but instead because of a governmental disagreement between two nations. Now which one you think is valid for suppressing speech is a totally different question, only that they are two separate and completely different reasons.


  • It's good that you point that out. Because it shows US really can't sanction China and only entities within it like it does to its own allies as opposed to straight country sanctions like Iran and North Korea.

    https://www.tradecompliance.pitt.edu/embargoed-and-sanctioned-countries

    Here's a list.

    In fairness though, that list also shows the US can't sanction Russia either. So not sure how much of a flex not being able to sanction China is.



  • What do you mean not ambitious? What China is doing is literally the most ambitious thing man kind has ever seen. China wants to give all countries the right to decide for themselves. China has stated multiple times that they will never interfere with a sovereign nation's right to decide what is right form their own nation. That means whatever a nation's internal will is, that's what decisions that country will get to make. This has never happened in history. For as long as we have records, we have always had strong nations impose their will on weak nations. If China gets it's way, that will go away. The only obstacle for China of course is that last super power that has been imposing it's will for almost 50 years now...



  • I think you're misunderstanding me. Conflict is not war, two companies selling a similar product are in conflict. I don't think Google is sending a hit squad to Microsoft because of their competition.

    China clearly wants to compete with USA on multiple levels, they've been doing this since the country was reformed under communism. It's not like they even pretended anything otherwise. From Mao to Deng to Xi China has always said it will develop in it's own way and will confront any one who tries to disturb the peace of the country. Sure enough, from the moment China was reformed, USA has constantly disturbed the peace of the country. Thus, China has always known they were in conflict with the US. It's only now they're strong enough to make it clear they want to be left alone and will use their military if it comes to it.

    So yes, even though it's defensive (and I'm not saying countries shouldn't be defensive) China has wanted this conflict. They have every right to this conflict as it's literally the sovereignty of their nation, but it's still wanting conflict. One that they have a clear path to victory.


  • What's more interesting to me is USA keeps whining about how China's changing the world order. Yet, their actions show that they approve of it and are running full steam in trying to implement China's new world order. Let's list what USA complains about:

    1. China's trade practices are unfair and they subsidize their companies - USA is now desperately trying to out subsidize China on chips.
    2. China censors foreign media and has no freedom of speech - USA is banning Tik Tok because it promotes China's speech
    3. China is committing genocide - USA helps Israel commit genocide

    I could go on. But what it all means to me is USA has totally given up on it's beliefs on human rights, freedom of speech and free trade. Instead it's trying to poorly imitate China. This is the conflict China wanted and USA is giving it to them on a golden platter.







  • Wow this article is a masterpiece of propaganda and disinformation. It doesn't mention anything about the fact that some of those arrested have literal backgrounds working for the CIA. Then it claims that China is getting less foreign investment by saying the NET inflow and outflow is only 33 Billion dollars. Here's the thing, China has been investing heavily in foreign countries like Mexico and Vietnam. So much so that Chinese factories in Mexico are shipping more to USA than China which has recently made Mexico USA's largest exporter.

    So, by obfuscating information, they're claiming China is getting less FDI, but wait:

    https://www.reuters.com/markets/german-investment-china-rises-new-record-high-2024-02-14/

    Germany is having record high investments in China, what's going on?

    Well it's easy, they're trying to claim net not total. If I used to make 50 from inflow last year and now make 100 this year but now I'm also spending 80 my "net" went from 100 to 20. I LOST 60%!!!!

    Like I said, effective way to obfuscate the data. Love it


  • The problem with your comparison with Taiwan is Taiwan is an island that is part of China but is currently controlled by an occupying force. This is agreed upon by almost all nations except for 12, the US also agrees on this btw.

    What the west is saying is that regardless of this, China does not have the right to an armed resistance against Taiwan even though they consider it part of China. They even agreed to arm Taiwan to prevent this attack from happening.

    So in terms of their statement on Palestine, this is actually consistent. The Palestinians have a right to kick out their occupiers, much like China has the right to kick out Taiwan's occupiers.

    You view it differently, but as I stated before almost all members of the UN agree Taiwan is part of China.

    *Edit: On a personal level I don't actually agree with this. I don't want an invasion of Taiwan. I'm merely pointing out the "gotcha" you tried to set up doesn't actually make sense. Instead it's actually quite consistent with China's position on Taiwan.

    *Edit 2: This is also why China seems petty and runs around making sure all nations that trade with China state there's only one China. That's what the whole Lithuania thing was about. China is stating if the majority of the UN believes in a 2 party solution, then the Palestinians have a right to defend themselves. Since the majority of UN believes in a 1 party solution for Taiwan, then it's the Taiwanese who are the occupiers and China has a right to defend itself.

    *Edit 3: Ironically, the same cannot be said for China's consistency on the SCS. If you wanted a "gotcha" then China's claim to the SCS is absurd. But that said, they never said it was OK for them to be in an armed conflict over that. So I guess take that how you will.



  • The bigger issue is they're saying they're decreasing support as of this year. Even if we ignore the fact that Russia will bomb those factories, factories don't just pop up magically. Often taking years to build in the first place. If the support dries up as of this year, there's no way Ukraine would be able to switch to domestic production.

    Essentially what's really being said is Ukraine will be stuck in a stalemate at best for this year and domestic production might support Ukraine enough for future years assuming there are no delays to factory creation. But just look at the chips act to see how well factory creation goes.


  • Now, I'm not saying that Bolivia won't get indebted to China, only that this actions is literally the opposite. When you agree to bilateral trade in another country's currency, you're actually going to be buying that countries debt. Look at how China is one of US's largest bond holders. The trade agreement means Bolivia will want a large reserve of Yuan which leads to Bolivia buying Chinese bonds.

    That said, the next action will most likely be what you're talking about. Much like Egypt after signing a currency swap agreement, Bolivia will likely denominate future debt in Yuan, or what we've been calling Panda bonds. Since you can use Yuan now for trade, it makes sense to take out debt in Yuan to fund things.

    An example of this not happening however is Argentina. After agreeing to a currency swap with China to trade in Yuan, Mieli got elected and promptly ended that. No indebtedness to China at all.

    You can argue that this is an indicator that Bolivia intends to get indebted to China, but this action so far is the exact opposite.