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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
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Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
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Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose
These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.
Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?
The fact that several Zionist military facilities were overrun by Hamas on the first day in a state of complete surprise speaks a lot to this. Any half competent military should have sentries, patrols, etc. The fact that the Zionists were just sleeping and completely dependent on their alarm system is wild to me.
I think that was also surprising to Hamas. They may have just planned on holding a few soldiers so they can have leverage in negotiation, and expected a lot more resistance. Because well, wouldn't you?
If I was about to paraglide into Israel, I would definitely assume I was going to become a martyr from an anti-air missile. It makes a lot of sense why some people think Israel let the incursion happen.