Countries have a 14% chance of keeping global warming below 1.5C even in the most optimistic scenario where all net-zero pledges are met, according to an analysis by the UN’s environment program. Current emissions-cutting plans put the world on course for up-to 2.9C of global warming and that’s assuming nations fulfill their unconditional commitments.
there isn't
there's a chance if we try extra extra hard and fulfill a fictitious plan which is 2x stricter than the plan we have now (which we already don't even attempt to fulfill)
it's like saying you have a chance of getting a C instead of a D on the test when it's 10 minutes before class and you haven't even started cramming yet