Countries have a 14% chance of keeping global warming below 1.5C even in the most optimistic scenario where all net-zero pledges are met, according to an analysis by the UN’s environment program. Current emissions-cutting plans put the world on course for up-to 2.9C of global warming and that’s assuming nations fulfill their unconditional commitments.

  • egg1918 [she/her]
    hexbear
    50
    7 months ago

    Current emissions-cutting plans put the world on course for up-to 2.9C of global warming and that’s assuming nations fulfill their unconditional commitments.

    Jesus Christ we're going to blow right past 3 degrees aren't we? We're done, this is it desolate

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      hexbear
      30
      7 months ago

      I didn't even bother to read beyond that.

      Jesus Christ we're going to blow right past 3 degrees aren't we? We're done, this is it desolate

      Also I made a joke at nearly exactly the same time you commented - https://hexbear.net/comment/4288535

  • Kuori [she/her]
    hexbear
    48
    7 months ago

    may as well dump that down to a solid 0% since nobody with power except china seems to give a fuck

  • Black Charlie White@lemmygrad.ml
    hexbear
    30
    edit-2
    7 months ago

    This is the part of the story where we start rolling up fossil fuel execs in swishers and smoking that shit like it's going out of style

  • isame [he/him]
    hexbear
    29
    7 months ago

    Not to be a doomer but... We're doomed. Toast to the end of the human species, comrades!

      • isame [he/him]
        hexbear
        10
        7 months ago

        Well jeez, can I at least go fuck myself first?

          • isame [he/him]
            hexbear
            6
            7 months ago

            Are you threatening me with a good time?

              • VOLCEL_POLICE [it/its]B
                hexbear
                7
                7 months ago

                Show

                The VOLCEL POLICE are on the scene! PLEASE KEEP YOUR VITAL ESSENCES TO YOURSELVES AT ALL TIMES.

                نحن شرطة VolCel.بناءا على تعليمات الهيئة لترويج لألعاب الفيديو و النهي عن الجنس نرجوا الإبتعاد عن أي أفكار جنسية و الحفاظ على حيواناتكم المنويَّة حتى يوم الحساب. اتقوا الله، إنك لا تراه لكنه يراك.

                volcel-police

    • Kuori [she/her]
      hexbear
      13
      7 months ago

      then it's time to start killing on earth

    • Venus [she/her]
      hexbear
      3
      7 months ago

      Yeah please don't do that most of you are too heavy for me to remove afterwards

  • @daisy
    hexbear
    23
    7 months ago

    I'd bet good money on geoengineering talk by governments ramping up.

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      hexbear
      9
      7 months ago

      It would be awesome if he did predictions about climate collapse. Change isn't needed because guys as smart as him on working the problem. I bet he'd say that there's a 99% chance we stay under a 2C increase by 2100 because of developing technologies. But when we are at a 2C increase in 2050 - he'll say the necessary technology has required a highly unexpected longer development time but there's a 99% chance we stay under a 3C increase by 2100. But when...

  • MayoPete [he/him, comrade/them]
    hexbear
    16
    7 months ago

    The people responsible for this are celebrating "Thanksgiving" today in nice homes funded by exploitation. It would be a shame if fedposting

    • UlyssesT [he/him]
      hexbear
      12
      7 months ago

      Many feedback loops have already started and some of those processes may already be impossible to stop, with more on the way so-far

  • UlyssesT [he/him]
    hexbear
    6
    7 months ago

    Below 1.5C for how long?

    That carbon isn't going anywhere. The pile-on is still accelerating. this-is-fine

    • space_comrade [he/him]
      hexbear
      3
      7 months ago

      That carbon isn't going anywhere.

      Trees and oceans soak it up normally, however trees grow slowly so it's not a viable solution by itself.

      • sooper_dooper_roofer [none/use name]
        hexbear
        3
        edit-2
        7 months ago

        regardless of "slowly", trees aren't going to magically appear in places they didn't exist before lol
        I've done the calculations, and there is no way to actually reverse the carbon release.

        If the entire world did ecocommunism today, and reforested every single desert (The Sahara, Gobi, Thar, Australia, and all of Arabia/Iran/CAsia/Rocky Mountains), and we also magically forested Antarctica and Greenland, there would STILL be extra carbon in the atmosphere from industrial activity

        I also did this calculation in 2021 so there's now two extra years of carbon on top of that

    • sooper_dooper_roofer [none/use name]
      hexbear
      3
      edit-2
      7 months ago

      there isn't

      there's a chance if we try extra extra hard and fulfill a fictitious plan which is 2x stricter than the plan we have now (which we already don't even attempt to fulfill)

      it's like saying you have a chance of getting a C instead of a D on the test when it's 10 minutes before class and you haven't even started cramming yet

    • kot [they/them]
      hexbear
      2
      7 months ago

      It's never going to happen under capitalism. Either we get rid of it or we go extinct. We have to use this information to radicalize other people, a lot of environmentalists are still libs.