• FidelCastro [he/him]
    hexagon
    ·
    3 years ago

    Disclaimer: officially, Castillo has not yet won.

    By my maths, he has won; Fujimori needs 75% of the remaining vote to win. That is c. 159,000 votes out of a remaining c. 210,000 votes.

    Edit: 77%. c. 155k of c. 199k remaining

    Edit: 81%. c. 150k of 185k remaining

    Based on the information available from here.

    • ErnestGoesToGulag [comrade/them]
      ·
      3 years ago

      Remember he’ll still have to deal with vote manipulation accusations, the inevitable CIA coup, a year of an intern government, another election, sanctions, an assassination attempt or two, etc.

      • SweetCheeks [he/him]
        ·
        3 years ago

        i think that only happens if the government that's in place while the votes are being counted is left wing. so basically if he wins reelection. i assume the current government is neolib or is the current government left wing too?

    • spectre [he/him]
      ·
      3 years ago

      Just heard on the news:

      "We are getting word now that Hexbear is projecting Castillo as the winner, though we are still waiting to hear from TeleSur, CNN, and the Associated Press among others. Our internal analysts are closely monitoring the incoming results, but also have not projected a winner yet."

    • ErnestGoesToGulag [comrade/them]
      ·
      3 years ago

      Also in that link, under Ámbito, remember to click on "TODOS" not "PERÚ".

      Might be my fault, I was spreading the wrong link earlier. You want to look at all the data, not just domestic votes

    • Civility [none/use name]
      ·
      edit-2
      3 years ago

      Including the international votes

      96.43% of the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election vote is counted.

      50.288% is for Castillo ✏️

      49.712% is for Fujimori 🇰

      Castillo has a lead of 98,170 votes.

      Of the estimated 630,000 valid votes remaining, Castillo needs only 220,000 to win

      • invalidusernamelol [he/him]M
        ·
        edit-2
        3 years ago

        Voids are only counted if they can swing it. The hanging chad votes were technically marked void even though the voter wasn't doing it intentionally.

        If the margin is 1% and there are 5% voids, they could probably do something in the court to audit the voids and see if any of them were just poorly filled out but clearly voting for someone.

        Then again, using the hanging chads as evidence kinda shows how arbitrary it is when it gets to that point.