- cross-posted to:
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- cross-posted to:
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The AFP apparently obtained exclusive access to a draft of the next 4000-pages IPCC report (the 6th, scheduled to be released in February 2022 - the last one, the 5th, dates back from 2014). The draft does not, sadly, appear to be publicly available, only articles they wrote about it.
As expected, this time around and based on updated models the report is much more alarming, saying among other things that the effects of climate change will be "cataclysmic", that strong effects will be felt "long before" 2050, that on current trends we're headed for a warming of 3C at best, that Humanity should "face up to this reality and prepare for the onslaught", and they also warn of feedback loops, saying they have identified "a dozen temperature trip wires".
It also includes this quote:
"Life on Earth can recover from a drastic climate shift by evolving into new species and creating new ecosystems," it says. "Humans cannot."
A few alternatives articles covering the same:
- Yahoo article
- Another AFP article posted one hour ago
- Quick bite article on The Straits Times describing "10 takeaways from the report".
- For French-speaking users, this Le Monde article.
- For German-speaking users, this Tagesschau article (thanks /u/canibal_cabin).
Finally, here is the official IPCC reaction to the draft being leaked to the AFP; where they basically say they that draft reports are confidential and that they "do not comment on the content of draft reports while work is still ongoing".
Careful: maybe my wording was confusing, we're headed for 3C minimum given current trends but not necessarily before 2050. That's not what the report says. Eventually we will hit 3C (I'd guesstimate largely before 2100 but probably not before 2050), that's all. The report simply says there will be painful, tangible, large consequences long before 2050 (such as ~2.5 more billions people at climate risks, and hundreds of millions of people at direct risk of flooding, by then, among other things).
This is hardly better though. Yet don't off yourself :ancom-heart: find what enjoyment you can from life in the meantime.
This justifies us grabbing power by any means necessary, btw. Doesnt mean full adventurism, but the morals and ethics of the old world no longer apply in a doomed world facing mass extinction and global collapse in the next 80 years. You have all the permission you need starting right now.
Do whatever it takes to ensure the people have the power to make this right. If that means withholding your vote from parties that arent demanding radical change, yes you are justified. If that means unionizing your workplace or salting other workplaces, yes you are justified. If that means quit your job and dedicate yourself to revolution, yes you are allowed. If that means kidnap CEOs of major companies, yes you have a moral liscence to do it. If that means sabotaging major infrastructure, yes you have the moral liscence to do it. You may face jail time, even death, and its up to you it you're willing to take risks like that in the service of the working class and the earth in general. Dont be stupid and go solo, but dont get cold feet either. Its terrifying to realize how much freedom and power you actually have, but it's yours for the taking.
By any means necessary means anything is allowed.
they say this every fucking time lmao. any time some kind of assessment comes out on how bad things will get and how fast, they're always like "oh shit yeah, turns out that's gonna be sooner than we expected" and then their new prediction is also blown out of the water
