Maybe, but I think Africa is more likely. There's a lot more of an NGO "nation building" angle that can be sold there as a replacement for Afghanistan, China's over there heavily, and it's lower risk vs. the potential of another humiliation of another Bay of Pigs type ordeal right after Afghanistan (you have to imagine the Guaido debacle still leaves a sour taste).
Maybe, but I think Africa is more likely. There's a lot more of an NGO "nation building" angle that can be sold there as a replacement for Afghanistan, China's over there heavily, and it's lower risk vs. the potential of another humiliation of another Bay of Pigs type ordeal right after Afghanistan (you have to imagine the Guaido debacle still leaves a sour taste).
That or a coup to help Bolsonaro.