My position for a while was that if Biden runs away with this, whatever shit Trump tries to pull still won't be enough. His best shot was always getting it to a place he can work around the margins using voter supression and blatant cheating. I just thought the trajectory was leading to a Biden blowout.

I don't think that anymore. I can absolutely see this one being >= 5 points come election day. I think the overall Dem aesthetic will start to wear thin on people. I really have no idea how the debates are going to go, but I see them swinging in Trump's favor.

If that's the case, you gotta beat the house on election day, and Trump is the house and you know what he's been doing.

I don't know, just sharing my thoughts. Good to be back with you homies.

  • hotcouchguy [he/him]
    ·
    4 years ago

    There are very few "undecided" voters, turnout is always much more important, especially this time. Trump is firing up the nutjobs and relying on his base, while Biden is hiding in his bunker and relying on widespread soft support. I wonder if Trump might actually pull this off.

    • Phish [he/him, any]
      ·
      4 years ago

      He does have the "not afraid of covid and excited to prove it by going out to vote" demographic on his side ..