UK government modeling predicting 600k-2 million cases PER DAY peak without significant NPIs. On the US population scale thats up to 12 million cases PER DAY. Timing for US wave estimated above. Buckle up. pic.twitter.com/tEoN72YcZ2— JWeiland (@JPWeiland) December 18, 2021
:blob-on-fire: Other models predict 1,000,000 daily cases by Christmas :this-is-fine:
I'm not convinced herd immunity is possible for this virus. Also it's gonna be a hell of a ride watching the fatality rate quadruple:
From a clinical point of view, SARS-CoV-2 infection is highly heterogeneous. In a report including over 40 thousand cases diagnosed in China [4], mild disease was reported in approximately 80% of patients, severe signs or symptoms including dyspnea, hypoxia or lung infiltrates involving >50% of the parenchyma occurred in 14% of patients, while signs indicative of critical disease such as shock, respiratory failure or multiorgan dysfunction were reported in 5% of cases. Of note, mortality was 2.3% in the entire cohort.
Basically the fatality rate is 2% when unmasked and freely spreading
But only 0.5% with masks (due to decreased viral load)
so basically the more of the virus that you're exposed to during infection the worse you're medical outcomes are. Meaning not only is the contagiousness highly exponential but so are the symptoms?
When I was reinfected, all my symptoms were mostly the same, but milder.
You could say, that they were milder BECAUSE it was my 2nd infection and my body had some type of immunity. However, if that was the case, why did I even get reinfected? Why did I even get symptoms?
I think what happened is that I have no immunity to this virus, and the reinfection was milder because I was wearing a mask this time around (nobody wore them in March 2020)
Could be that you had some immunity built up, but were exposed to different amounts of virus in each case. I think that there are too many variables to draw a clear conclusion from when it comes down to it though.
This whole thing has had me most interested in the research and analysis that comes out 5 or 10 years from now. We barely know shit about covid right now it seems like even after 2 years, not to mention reviewing how it was actually handled on a social level beyond the biology of the virus itself.
I'm not convinced herd immunity is possible for this virus. Also it's gonna be a hell of a ride watching the fatality rate quadruple:
Basically the fatality rate is 2% when unmasked and freely spreading
But only 0.5% with masks (due to decreased viral load)
so basically the more of the virus that you're exposed to during infection the worse you're medical outcomes are. Meaning not only is the contagiousness highly exponential but so are the symptoms?
Yes, it seems that way.
When I was reinfected, all my symptoms were mostly the same, but milder.
You could say, that they were milder BECAUSE it was my 2nd infection and my body had some type of immunity. However, if that was the case, why did I even get reinfected? Why did I even get symptoms?
I think what happened is that I have no immunity to this virus, and the reinfection was milder because I was wearing a mask this time around (nobody wore them in March 2020)
Could be that you had some immunity built up, but were exposed to different amounts of virus in each case. I think that there are too many variables to draw a clear conclusion from when it comes down to it though.
This whole thing has had me most interested in the research and analysis that comes out 5 or 10 years from now. We barely know shit about covid right now it seems like even after 2 years, not to mention reviewing how it was actually handled on a social level beyond the biology of the virus itself.
deleted by creator