:blob-on-fire: Other models predict 1,000,000 daily cases by Christmas :this-is-fine:
Guess it's finally time to find out what herd immunity will be like :cowboy-cri:
I'm not convinced herd immunity is possible for this virus. Also it's gonna be a hell of a ride watching the fatality rate quadruple:
From a clinical point of view, SARS-CoV-2 infection is highly heterogeneous. In a report including over 40 thousand cases diagnosed in China [4], mild disease was reported in approximately 80% of patients, severe signs or symptoms including dyspnea, hypoxia or lung infiltrates involving >50% of the parenchyma occurred in 14% of patients, while signs indicative of critical disease such as shock, respiratory failure or multiorgan dysfunction were reported in 5% of cases. Of note, mortality was 2.3% in the entire cohort.
Basically the fatality rate is 2% when unmasked and freely spreading
But only 0.5% with masks (due to decreased viral load)so basically the more of the virus that you're exposed to during infection the worse you're medical outcomes are. Meaning not only is the contagiousness highly exponential but so are the symptoms?
Yes, it seems that way.
When I was reinfected, all my symptoms were mostly the same, but milder.
You could say, that they were milder BECAUSE it was my 2nd infection and my body had some type of immunity. However, if that was the case, why did I even get reinfected? Why did I even get symptoms?
I think what happened is that I have no immunity to this virus, and the reinfection was milder because I was wearing a mask this time around (nobody wore them in March 2020)
Could be that you had some immunity built up, but were exposed to different amounts of virus in each case. I think that there are too many variables to draw a clear conclusion from when it comes down to it though.
This whole thing has had me most interested in the research and analysis that comes out 5 or 10 years from now. We barely know shit about covid right now it seems like even after 2 years, not to mention reviewing how it was actually handled on a social level beyond the biology of the virus itself.
Something about finding grout, I think? Should be pretty simple they just have that stuff at like...home depot or whatever
Binding trout? Hmm no that doesn't seem right either, I mean I feel like they'd just wriggle out anyways. Ah well probably not important.
Close, finding gout. Known causes of gout are eating too many processed meats and fucking around.
2.2 day doubling time
Conservative Estimate: 3 day doubling time
:agony-shivering:
Can’t wait for Biden to do his omicron Christmas special on Tuesday, his moralising is gonna be :elmofire:
Just get the vax bros. If you just got the vax it would all be fixed
- Joseph R Biden
Can either country even test that many people per day?
Two years in and we are still stuck without complete testing infrastructure and protocol, so we can't make effective decisions since we are in the dark all the time. Not to say that liberal governments are even capable of making effective decisions even when the data is available.
Right as I'm set to take a greenhouse management class that I need. The university stays open to collect in-person tuition fees, then closes two weeks into the semester because its students become superspreader events wherever they go. :amerikkka:
My gf loved her greenhouse classes, I hope you get to take yours / also don’t get Covid/whatever I’m supposed to hope
Such a surreal experience to just watch “the adults” just let Covid run wild
I thought about going to get coffee and fig bars at the grocery store but decided against it, even with a mask. Feels like the right call.
