Arizona and Nevada are guaranteed Dem wins after all the transplants from California, who unlike Texas tend to be a broad cross section of society looking for low CoL, not Chuds running away from west coast libs or whatever. Colorado and New Hampshire have far, far too many 30-50 year old whites with college degrees (who are like cult members) for the GOP to have a chance, also easy Dem wins.
Biden only won Arizona by 0.3%, and Nevada by 2.4%. Has there been such a substantial shift in their populations in the last year to overcome just the fact that the incumbent party usually does worse in midterms, let alone how awful the Dems have done?
Colorado and New Hampshire are definitely a stretch, Biden won them by 13% and 7.3%, so they’d have to fuck up pretty badly but I don’t know that it’s impossible.
Parties doing worse in the midterms is not a rule. Dems will do better because the GOP is still full of psychos which the Dems will hammer home after the Supreme Court overturns Roe v Wade, and AZ and NV have incumbents who will be nudged across the finish line.
Why would you expect the Dems to do better in 2022 than they did in 2020? They’ve done everything they can to ensure they lose the next election, I expect every election that’s anywhere even close they’ll lose.
Democrats are the party of Capital, they even count people like George Bush and Dick Cheney in their ranks right now, experts at *ahem* getting results when it comes to elections. Plus, demographics are destiny. 2016 was just the Dems being caught lackin', won't happen again.
The Dems and Reps are both the party of Capital. That’s why Capital always wins. Capital doesn’t care which one wins, they always come out on top.
And I don’t know that I agree about “demographics are destiny.” Dems have basically been saying that for decades now and it hasn’t really come true yet, and in 2020 every minority demographic voted more for Trump than they did in 2016.
and in 2020 every minority demographic voted more for Trump than they did in 2016.
Citation needed. The shift in the black vote was imperceptible, and the shifts in the Hispanic vote were due to misinformation in Spanish not being as policed as in English, that's been fixed.
The Dems and Reps are both the party of Capital. That’s why Capital always wins. Capital doesn’t care which one wins, they always come out on top.
The absolutely care because in the present moment, Democrats are better for capital's overall interests than the Republicans, who are dominated by nasty provincial petit-boug that want to upset the conditions necessary to continue to squeeze profit out of the global capitalist system.
I'm in Nevada, and I'd be pretty surprised if the Dems lost here given the electoral trajectory of the last 15 years. One scenario I can foresee that might lead to a loss, though, is the state Dems self sabotaging because democratic socialists took over the state machinery last year and the mainstream libs are pissed about it. I could absolutely see them deliberately throwing the election just to spite the left.
Arizona and Nevada are guaranteed Dem wins after all the transplants from California, who unlike Texas tend to be a broad cross section of society looking for low CoL, not Chuds running away from west coast libs or whatever. Colorado and New Hampshire have far, far too many 30-50 year old whites with college degrees (who are like cult members) for the GOP to have a chance, also easy Dem wins.
Biden only won Arizona by 0.3%, and Nevada by 2.4%. Has there been such a substantial shift in their populations in the last year to overcome just the fact that the incumbent party usually does worse in midterms, let alone how awful the Dems have done?
Colorado and New Hampshire are definitely a stretch, Biden won them by 13% and 7.3%, so they’d have to fuck up pretty badly but I don’t know that it’s impossible.
Parties doing worse in the midterms is not a rule. Dems will do better because the GOP is still full of psychos which the Dems will hammer home after the Supreme Court overturns Roe v Wade, and AZ and NV have incumbents who will be nudged across the finish line.
Why would you expect the Dems to do better in 2022 than they did in 2020? They’ve done everything they can to ensure they lose the next election, I expect every election that’s anywhere even close they’ll lose.
The House always wins.
Yes, capital always wins. The Democrats are not The House, and do often lose.
Democrats are the party of Capital, they even count people like George Bush and Dick Cheney in their ranks right now, experts at *ahem* getting results when it comes to elections. Plus, demographics are destiny. 2016 was just the Dems being caught lackin', won't happen again.
The Dems and Reps are both the party of Capital. That’s why Capital always wins. Capital doesn’t care which one wins, they always come out on top.
And I don’t know that I agree about “demographics are destiny.” Dems have basically been saying that for decades now and it hasn’t really come true yet, and in 2020 every minority demographic voted more for Trump than they did in 2016.
Citation needed. The shift in the black vote was imperceptible, and the shifts in the Hispanic vote were due to misinformation in Spanish not being as policed as in English, that's been fixed.
The absolutely care because in the present moment, Democrats are better for capital's overall interests than the Republicans, who are dominated by nasty provincial petit-boug that want to upset the conditions necessary to continue to squeeze profit out of the global capitalist system.
I'm in Nevada, and I'd be pretty surprised if the Dems lost here given the electoral trajectory of the last 15 years. One scenario I can foresee that might lead to a loss, though, is the state Dems self sabotaging because democratic socialists took over the state machinery last year and the mainstream libs are pissed about it. I could absolutely see them deliberately throwing the election just to spite the left.