Article link, because Hexbear doesn't make the post's link obvious: https://archive.is/4eIAW

As Russia threatens the largest land invasion in Europe since World War II, the most consequential strategic question of the 21st century is becoming clear: How can the United States manage two revisionist, autocratic, nuclear-armed great powers (Russia and China) simultaneously? The answer, according to many politicians and defense experts, is that Washington must moderate its response to Russia in Europe to focus on the greater threat posed by China in the Indo-Pacific.

This would be a mistake.

The United States remains the world’s leading power with global interests, and it cannot afford to choose between Europe and the Indo-Pacific. Instead, Washington and its allies should develop a defense strategy capable of deterring and, if necessary, defeating Russia and China at the same time.

In recent weeks, Biden has sent several thousand U.S. troops to reinforce NATO’s eastern flank—and for good reason. A major war in Ukraine could spill across international boundaries and threaten the seven NATO allies that border Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Moreover, if Russian President Vladimir Putin succeeds in Ukraine, why would he stop there?

Putin has shown a clear interest in resurrecting the former Russian Empire, and other vulnerable Eastern European countries—Poland, Romania, or the Baltic states—might be next. A successful Russian incursion into a NATO ally’s territory could mean the end of the Western alliance and the credibility of U.S. security commitments globally.

The threat posed by China is also serious. Adm. Philip Davidson, former commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, predicted China could invade Taiwan within the next six years. This is a war the United States might lose. If China succeeds in taking Taiwan, it would be well on its way to disrupting the U.S.-led order in Asia, with an eye to doing the same globally.

Moreover, Russia and China are increasingly working together. As this month’s summit between Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping shows, Moscow and Beijing are forging a closer strategic partnership, including on military matters. These dictators could coordinate dual attacks on the U.S. alliance structure or opportunistically seize on the distraction provided by the other’s aggression. In other words, there is a serious risk of simultaneous major-power wars in both Europe and the Indo-Pacific.

To address this problem, many have proposed answers that simply will not work. The Biden administration initially hoped to put relations with Russia on a “stable and predictable” footing to focus on China, but Putin had other ideas, as the world is now seeing in Ukraine. Unfortunately, Washington does not get to decide how its adversaries sequence their aggression.

Others have expressed hope that Washington can peel these powers apart or even align with Russia against China, but these are not realistic solutions.

The misguided view gaining the most recent acceptance, however, is that Washington should simply choose the Indo-Pacific over Europe. Politicians and experts argue that the United States lacks the resources to take on both Russia and China. They point to China’s power and Asia’s wealth and argue that Asia should be the priority. While Washington pivots to Asia, wealthy European countries, such as Germany, should step up to provide for NATO’s defense. Indeed, the Biden administration’s National Defense Strategy, which has been delayed due to the Ukraine crisis, is expected to focus on China without offering a clear solution to the two-front-war problem.

A good strategy, however, starts with clear goals, and Washington’s objectives are to maintain peace and stability in both Europe and Asia. U.S. interests in Europe are too significant to let them be worked out solely between Putin and the United States’ European allies. Indeed, the European Union, not Asia, is the United States’ largest trade and investment partner, and this imbalance is much starker when China (which the United States seeks greater economic decoupling from), is removed from the equation.

Furthermore, China has conducted military exercises in Europe and the Middle East. Competing with China militarily means competing globally, not just in Asia. In addition, Xi is gauging U.S. resolve, and a weak response in Ukraine might make a Chinese move on Taiwan more likely.

Moreover, the United States is not France; it is not compelled to make gut-wrenching strategic choices about its national security due to constrained resources. In short, publishing a defense strategy that can only handle one of the United States’ great-power rivals (which is what is expected from the forthcoming national defense strategy) is planning to fail.

Instead, the United States and its allies must design a defense strategy capable of deterring and, if necessary, defeating both Russia and China in overlapping time frames. The pause in releasing Biden’s defense strategy provides an opportunity to go back to the drawing board and get this right.

To be sure, developing such a strategy will be challenging, but there are a number of ways to begin to square the circle.

First, Washington should increase defense spending. Contrary to those who claim that constrained resources will force tough choices, the United States can afford to outspend Russia and China at the same time. The United States possesses 24 percent of global GDP compared to a combined 19 percent in China and Russia. This year, the United States will spend $778 billion on defense compared to only $310 billion in Russia and China.

Moreover, the United States could go so far as to double defense spending (currently 2.8 percent of GDP) and still remain below its Cold War average (close to 7 percent of GDP). Indeed, given that this new Cold War is every bit as dangerous as the last one, a meaningful increase in defense spending, focused on the 21st century’s emerging defense technologies, is in order.

Some might argue that the days of a U.S. economic advantage are numbered due to China’s rise, but China’s internal dysfunctions are catching up with it. Dictators like Xi prioritize political control over economic performance.

Xi is undermining China’s growth model by cracking down on the private sector and rolling back liberalizing reforms, and his aggressive diplomacy is upsetting international economic relationships. As a result, Beijing’s economy is stagnating. Russia’s long-term economic outlook is even worse. In short, even if this new strategic competition becomes a two-versus-one arms race, Washington is likely to prevail.

In addition, the United States can actively lead its allies in Europe and the Indo-Pacific to develop a free world defense strategy. The United States and its formal treaty allies possess nearly 60 percent of global GDP, and together, they can easily marshal the resources to maintain a favorable balance of military power over both China and Russia. Preexisting formal alliances like NATO in Europe and bilateral alliances in Asia can be supplemented with new arrangements, such as the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue.

Allies do need, therefore, to step up and do more for their defense, but they will not do it on their own if the United States threatens to leave Europe. Instead, Washington should actively lead, moving from a model where Washington provides defense to allies to one where Washington contributes to allies’ self-defense. This should include incorporating key allies into military planning, sharing responsibilities, and devising a rational division of labor for weapons acquisition.

European allies should invest in armor and artillery while Asian allies buy naval mines, harpoon missiles, and submarines. The U.S. Army should prioritize Europe while the U.S. Navy takes the Indo-Pacific and a larger U.S. Air Force plays a significant role in both theaters. In addition, the United States should provide strategic capabilities like its nuclear umbrella; global conventional strike capabilities, including hypersonic missiles; and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance.

Finally, if necessary, Washington could always take a page from its Cold War playbook and rely more heavily on nuclear weapons to offset the local, conventional advantages of its rivals. The presence of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in Europe helped deter the massive Soviet Red Army for decades. Similarly, the United States could rely on threatening nonstrategic nuclear strikes to deter and, as a last resort, thwart a Chinese amphibious invasion of Taiwan or a Russian tank incursion into Europe.

To be sure, there are risks associated with nuclear deterrence, but nuclear weapons have played a foundational role in U.S. defense strategy for three-quarters of a century—and will likely continue to do so for decades to come.

Deterring China and Russia at the same time will not be easy, but it is better than pretending Washington can deal with one major-power rival or the other at its convenience. Thank goodness, former U.S. President Franklin Roosevelt did not choose victory in only one theater during World War II. Biden should follow his example and plan to defend U.S. interests in Europe and the Indo-Pacific at the same time.

lol, lmao even

  • comi [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    Moreover, the United States could go so far as to double defense spending (currently 2.8 percent of GDP) and still remain below its Cold War average (close to 7 percent of GDP).

    There it is

      • comi [he/him]
        ·
        2 years ago

        We can’t spend 1.5 trillions on infrastructure and healthcare aid to different people over 10 years :biden:

        :biden-harbinger: we can spend it in a year on a new f45 tho

    • Shoegazer [he/him]
      ·
      2 years ago

      They point to China’s power and Asia’s wealth and argue that Asia should be the priority.

      Don’t forget this tidbit

  • Ram_The_Manparts [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    The presence of U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in Europe helped deter the massive Soviet Red Army for decades.

    Yeah, remember how the USSR totally definitely absolutely wanted to invade and conquer western europe?

    Oh wait, NO THEY FUCKING DIDN'T YOU ABSOLUTE CLOWN

    • UncleJoe [comrade/them]
      ·
      2 years ago

      They could have and they should have, but Stalin is a fucking liberal :josus-stalin:

    • theship [none/use name]
      ·
      2 years ago

      What was their plan, anyway? What would a Soviet victory in Europe look like?

      • TreadOnMe [none/use name]
        ·
        2 years ago

        Well, they were hoping that there would be enough crisis in capitalism at the core to spark internal revolutions or friendly communist party elections that they could then ally and work with. Basically trying to prevent the issues causes by WWII style spilt up of Europe. "Socialism in one country" as it were. The problem was by the 70's it was obvious that the left in the West couldn't do it by themselves, as they had been more or less bought off by the socdems, and what leftist political movements had been allowed to rise were implacably anti-Soviet, for reasons both imagined and real.

    • Shoegazer [he/him]
      ·
      2 years ago

      upsetting international economic relationships.

      Read: westoids

    • CTHlurker [he/him]
      ·
      2 years ago

      Not to detract too much from the dunking, but hasn't Xi's leadership been characterized by China expanding their diplomacy to a shitload of new countries, which China is rapidly improving relations with? it's just that a lot of those countries are non-white, and so their opinion don't count to Atlantic psychos.

  • Mizokon [none/use name]
    ·
    2 years ago

    How can the United States manage two revisionist, autocratic, nuclear-armed great powers (Russia and China) simultaneously?

    REVISONIST? :hoxha-turt:

  • Ram_The_Manparts [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    the U.S.-led order in Asia

    Aight, hear me out: Maybe Asia should have an Asian-led order? It's so crazy it just might work.

  • Shoegazer [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    “Dude what if we started a war with two nuclear powers lol”

    “Bro... what if like, one of those countries produced 99% of our products”

    “Lmao”

  • BynarsAreOk [none/use name]
    ·
    2 years ago

    Thank goodness, former U.S. President Franklin Roosevelt did not choose victory in only one theater during World War II.

    Asbolutely triggering, sort of thing I would gladly put someone on a wall just for saying, fucking joined European war in 1944 5 years late, Pearl Harbor was at least 4 years after Japan invading China(Marco Polo bridge incident) and10 years after the invasion of Machuria(1931). The choice for a long time was victory in neither theater, the American isolationism post WW1 is bare minimum historical facts of the 1920-30s.

    Go to hell.

  • solaranus
    ·
    edit-2
    11 months ago

    deleted by creator

  • Torenico [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    mfers horny for war. funny thing is that a war against russia and china means total defeat for the US lmao

  • Ecoleo [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    They really gonna take us all out with nuclear hellfire before they let capitalism in America fail

    • PorkrollPosadist [he/him, they/them]
      ·
      2 years ago

      Freeman and slave, patrician and plebeian, lord and serf, guild-master and journeyman, in a word, oppressor and oppressed, stood in constant opposition to one another, carried on an uninterrupted, now hidden, now open fight, a fight that each time ended, either in a revolutionary re-constitution of society at large, or in the common ruin of the contending classes.

  • invo_rt [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    lol just imagine the ramifications of China absolutely cutting off all trade to the US. The economy would implode

  • richietozier4 [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    U.S.-led order in Asia

    why is a western country running things in asia

    • zifnab25 [he/him, any]
      ·
      2 years ago

      There is literally no way the US is going to go to war with China.

      Christ, I just don't know anymore.

      Evil and stupid are converging so quickly.