i think unless there obvious tampering biden will win, but nothing he's done recently (dnc, kamala pick, recent statements and appearences) will help him have a blowout win of 10 points.
Oh god fuck no, of course not. But neither will anything Trump does is going to help him either, it's basically gonna be a small but substantial margin.
Keith Ellison's electoral transformation of his district was incredible, and he had more returns per person in his district than anyone else in the state of Minnesota. Hist turnouts are an absolute blowout. The only state Hillary won in her firewall in 2016 was Minnesota, by only 40,000 votes. She owes every single fucking one of them to Keith Ellison.
I don't think we're going to lose the 5th anytime soon.
Personally I don't, the whole idea of the Rust Belt going Republican is laughable to me. It's still very urban and what happened more than anything is that people didn't give a fuck about Hillary in 2016.
Bush's approval rating was 8 points higher than Trump's at this same time.. He ran on that 9/11 high and never stopped. Kerry was a bad choice, but the Dems had a rough go of it.
i think unless there obvious tampering biden will win, but nothing he's done recently (dnc, kamala pick, recent statements and appearences) will help him have a blowout win of 10 points.
Oh god fuck no, of course not. But neither will anything Trump does is going to help him either, it's basically gonna be a small but substantial margin.
imo, popular vote margin will be between 3 and 4%, but some states will be closer than we think, and dems might lose minessota.
but it also could be a blowout because libs reaaaaaaaaaaaaly hate trump.
Can I tell you my 2016 theory?
Keith Ellison's electoral transformation of his district was incredible, and he had more returns per person in his district than anyone else in the state of Minnesota. Hist turnouts are an absolute blowout. The only state Hillary won in her firewall in 2016 was Minnesota, by only 40,000 votes. She owes every single fucking one of them to Keith Ellison.
I don't think we're going to lose the 5th anytime soon.
do you think the state is in danger of going red?
ellison carrying clinton's win is.... very accurate but also depressing.
Personally I don't, the whole idea of the Rust Belt going Republican is laughable to me. It's still very urban and what happened more than anything is that people didn't give a fuck about Hillary in 2016.
People hate Trump but probably not in the right states. I'm betting if Trump wins, it'll be because of the electoral college.
I have a hard time seeing trump winning the popular vote unless there’s mass election tampering
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I mean polls still matter, the enthusiasm you're missing here is that more people hate Trump than like him.
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Bush's approval rating was 8 points higher than Trump's at this same time.. He ran on that 9/11 high and never stopped. Kerry was a bad choice, but the Dems had a rough go of it.
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I'm not saying Biden is a good choice. I'm just saying, 2004 is a bad comparison. As of September, he polled badly.