Yeah kinda a mixed result. It is nice that the media had to acknowledge the dissent, and that's the bottom line of the night. The amount of people voting out of spite is to be commended.
The uncommitted showed strength not only in Arab American precincts, but also in predominantly white and young college towns like Ann Arbor. These college kids would likely just straight up not vote rather than getting coerced to fall in line. What is somewhat disappointing is the lack of solidarity by Black people in Detroit, I would've thought that there would be more solidarity there given how many Black activists supported the Palestinian cause.
My intuitions are only that, given the incredibly unpopular Republican culture war platform, there's going to be a lot of enthusiasm down ballot, even if there is squeamishness for Biden himself; Dems are positively stronger on labor than any time in recent memory-- UAW and SF probably net Dems big in MI, if anywhere. I think sans Gaza Biden would be looking at a larger margin than last time, and from your helpfully provided numbers above, even that 80k protest vote isn't sufficient to cut into the 2020 margin (those people are not going to vote for Trump).
Again, I think we agree that as long as there's a plausible threat that Biden flubs, there's hope for some concessions; I'm not sure Biden losing is good, but I wish the threat was stronger/more motivating.
Appreciate the color; I think most will fall in line, but it looks like the media is having to acknowledge the dissent at least.
Yeah kinda a mixed result. It is nice that the media had to acknowledge the dissent, and that's the bottom line of the night. The amount of people voting out of spite is to be commended.
The uncommitted showed strength not only in Arab American precincts, but also in predominantly white and young college towns like Ann Arbor. These college kids would likely just straight up not vote rather than getting coerced to fall in line. What is somewhat disappointing is the lack of solidarity by Black people in Detroit, I would've thought that there would be more solidarity there given how many Black activists supported the Palestinian cause.
My intuitions are only that, given the incredibly unpopular Republican culture war platform, there's going to be a lot of enthusiasm down ballot, even if there is squeamishness for Biden himself; Dems are positively stronger on labor than any time in recent memory-- UAW and SF probably net Dems big in MI, if anywhere. I think sans Gaza Biden would be looking at a larger margin than last time, and from your helpfully provided numbers above, even that 80k protest vote isn't sufficient to cut into the 2020 margin (those people are not going to vote for Trump).
Again, I think we agree that as long as there's a plausible threat that Biden flubs, there's hope for some concessions; I'm not sure Biden losing is good, but I wish the threat was stronger/more motivating.