We know that Mitch McConnell floated the idea of a nationwide abortion ban shortly after the leak happened.

We know that with Roe v Wade about to be gone, the Republicans will move forward with implementing a nationwide abortion ban the next time they have enough power consolidated to do it (i.e. a trifecta, where they control the House, Senate, and Presidency).

We know that Republicans are very well positioned in the 2022 midterms, and currently the projections are that they will regain both the House and Senate.

We know that Republicans are opposed to democracy and have no problem with disregarding election results that don't favor them. Assuming that they control the Senate and House in 2024, we can count on them doing this with any 2024 presidential election result that shows a Democratic victory.

So here's the most likely (basically guaranteed in my opinion) timeline we're looking at: the GOP takes the House and Senate in 2022, they steal the presidency in 2024 (assuming they don't just win outright), and then they ban abortion nationwide in 2025 or 2026.

Am I missing anything? Is there any compelling reason to believe that this won't happen?

    • Dangitbobby [none/use name]
      ·
      3 years ago

      But you don't need a constitutional convention for that. The only reason for a constitutional convention would be to rewrite the whole thing.

      And I don't think that would work out in their favor. The world has changed a great deal since 1783 and I think rewriting it would blow up in their faces. The first and second amendments are certainly out the door, and probably the fourth and fifth as well. The tenth would be on super shaky ground.

      • DinosaurThussy [they/them]
        ·
        3 years ago

        A constitutional convention has never been called by the states and it’s the stated goal of all these groups to simply pass amendments, which is also possible. If they rig which delegates are sent it could very much be possible to do some rough shit

      • JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]
        ·
        3 years ago

        Democracy in Chains by Nancy MacLean does a whole rundown on Neoliberalism's origins and how Chile's new constitution following the overthrow of Allende was heavily influenced by Chicago Boys and was seen as the test run for what the Billionaires like the Kochs and their cronies want to create in the US. It's not about just repealing amendments, it's about a rewrite.

        • Dingus_Khan [he/him, they/them]
          ·
          3 years ago

          Part of the strategy has also been strengthening their hold over governorships and state senates in anticipation for such an event, which they have been pursuing for like decades at this point

          • JoeByeThen [he/him, they/them]
            ·
            3 years ago

            Absolutely. Dark Money by Jane Mayer is a great read on the Kochtopus and how prevalent right wing propaganda is in everything we consume. Tho she kinda gives a pass to the Dems.