With Russia outgunning Ukraine’s artillery at an estimated 15-1 it looks like the main tool for halting Russia’s advance is about to start running at marginal effectiveness. Ukraine’s main industrial hubs are either already occupied, have incredibly difficult issues with supply lines, or have sustained physical damage, and artillery has been one of Ukraine’s most effective tools at slowing the Russian advance. The fact that Ukraine is simply using this ammunition faster than the west is willing to donate and faster than Ukraine’s domestic production can keep up with does not bode well for their ability to mount a meaningful defense for much longer. The last aid package passed by the US bought Ukraine only about 2 weeks worth of artillery shells.

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  • Mardoniush [she/her]
    ·
    3 years ago

    Imagine running out of Soviet-Era ammo. Literal mountains of the stuff existed in Ukraine alone. As in, the Soviets decided to hollow out a mountain and cram it full of ammo, just in case.

    I knew they had supply issues in the east since their primary route is now open to direct fire from Russia, and I'd thought they'd have material issues, but the fact they've run out is making me downgrade the effectiveness of their forces (which are supposed to be very effective at drone aided strikes)

    Additionally, this may also mean the Russians have severely degraded their industrial capacity.

    • Torenico [he/him]
      ·
      3 years ago

      It appears that precision strikes with Iskanders and Kalibr have done their part, let us remember that in the first weeks the Russians pretty much blew up ammo depot after ammo depot, almost on a daily basis.

    • CoolerOpposide [none/use name]
      hexagon
      ·
      3 years ago

      The areas that have been captured in eastern Ukraine account for a large part of productive ability as well