Nearly half of the country has now chosen party nominees for November's midterm elections. Tuesday's primaries, from South Carolina to Nevada, made clear tha...
I know we’ve had 6 years of evidence that polling is bad at accounting for Trump, but they do indeed poll lower in general. If a Trump endorsement comes after an initial poll is conducted, the candidate’s approval usually drops among Republican voters
My ideal scenario is that they started to do the fascist thing of shrinking their ingroup too quickly. You’re supposed to get power before the purges but there was a lot of infighting after the 6th while leaders scrambled to not get mentioned in the hearings. Even though it’s likely that nothing will come of the hearings, no one wants to risk testifying before Congress and accidentally giving a shitty sound bite. And for a while people weren’t sure who to side with in terms of the Trump vs McConnell struggle near the end of the term.
However, there’s a very real possibility that they’ll be gaining ground in the midterms (Republicans definitely will, but Trumpites in particular) as opposed to in another 2 or 4 years. And it looks like the Democrats are probably helping that along. I’m not so much worried about “harm reduction” in the way that libs tell people to vote. I’m more worried about personal organizing projects having time to get off the ground before the mass graves start being dug.
But they aren't easier to beat.....
I know we’ve had 6 years of evidence that polling is bad at accounting for Trump, but they do indeed poll lower in general. If a Trump endorsement comes after an initial poll is conducted, the candidate’s approval usually drops among Republican voters
Fair enough, I didn't realize. Maybe they're just starting to get over him specifically
My ideal scenario is that they started to do the fascist thing of shrinking their ingroup too quickly. You’re supposed to get power before the purges but there was a lot of infighting after the 6th while leaders scrambled to not get mentioned in the hearings. Even though it’s likely that nothing will come of the hearings, no one wants to risk testifying before Congress and accidentally giving a shitty sound bite. And for a while people weren’t sure who to side with in terms of the Trump vs McConnell struggle near the end of the term.
However, there’s a very real possibility that they’ll be gaining ground in the midterms (Republicans definitely will, but Trumpites in particular) as opposed to in another 2 or 4 years. And it looks like the Democrats are probably helping that along. I’m not so much worried about “harm reduction” in the way that libs tell people to vote. I’m more worried about personal organizing projects having time to get off the ground before the mass graves start being dug.