“The cost in human lives is appalling,” writes Molan. Xi Jinping has delivered his message even as the world still struggles to restore communications. Xi’s message to America, as Molan puts it:

“You are out of the Western Pacific and we will not let you re-establish your bases in Japan, South Korea or even Guam. From Japan to Australia and out to Hawaii, the Western Pacific is now a Chinese sphere of influence.”

It’s merely a scenario, but is it plausible? Molan argues that we’re preparing for the wrong war. He thinks that we’re all standing around waiting for a limited Chinese attack on Taiwan. And while he says that’s possible, it would only happen if China’s strategists are silly.

If Xi struck Taiwan, his attacking forces would be vulnerable to a hammering from the US. Why would he accept that pain when he has the option of pushing America out of the hemisphere altogether, forcing it back to the region east of Hawaii?

Then he can take Taiwan at his leisure, probably without the use of force. And dictate terms to US allies including Australia, now cut off from its great ally.

And Xi can luxuriate in history’s acclaim as the ruler who ended half a millennium of Western dominance of the Pacific.

angloid military strategists always make reality sound 10000x cooler than reality

https://archive.ph/wXdhE

  • Presents [none/use name]
    ·
    2 years ago

    There are several Youtube channels that thrive on "China is going to collapse any minute now" videos. I remember last year the Three Gorges Dam was going to collapse and the resulting mass human misery was going to be a laugh riot. Still waiting...strangely the subject has been dropped. Now it's about how a few rural banks in the middle of nowhere are going to bring down the entire system.

    • Omegamint [comrade/them, doe/deer]
      ·
      2 years ago

      Yeah it's a grift. I had a radlib friend (he is so very close to getting it) who tried to tell me how China was about to collapse over their housing market and all I could tell him is to talk to me about it again in a year. We aren't going to talk about it again.

      Either he'll get it or it'll be some new crisis for China that he's focused on