It's like someone asked ChatGPT to turn the book into a dumb anglo sitcom.
-Every character is emotionally immature, spiteful, and sassy. None of the 'friends' act like friends. None of the characters talk like real people. They're constantly insulting or hitting each other. It's just embarrassing. The actors have nothing to work with.
-All the major twists/reveals are shown in the first two episodes. No suspense, no build-up, no pay-off. Rushed is an understatement.
-Single characters from the book have been unnecessarily split into multiple new characters adding nothing to the story.
-The story is a cosmic horror but comedy and romance have been forced in for no reason whatsoever except as filler, which is even more mind-boggling because they've essentially rushed all of the good stuff in the book to make room for unfunny jokes.
-Apparently they could barely afford any sets and extras, so scenes and locations that are supposed to be bristling with sights and people just feel oddly empty. Even the special effects feel muted. The budget is just weirdly limited, and the show looks much cheaper than the Tencent series.
-Almost all of the science (which is the interesting stuff) has been gutted from this science fiction.
I hate anglo slop. Where is the kino. Tencent pls adapt The Dark Forest.
Yeah I hear it's about collapsing spatial dimensions as if reality itself is a perfect 1:1 copy of our simplified understanding of it (math) and it's done with technology that's super advanced so it never has to actually be described or follow conservation of energy or anything
Plus the entire premise seems to be a nihilistic parable about how fascism is right and you need to wipe out rival civilizations before they even know you exist, or they'll do the same to you
I see this take all the time here, and then when I (a person who read the book) counter that it's a Sci-Fi parable about Chinese foreign policy from the perspective of the Chinese (you need to keep your head down and not draw attention to yourself or the evil
TrisolaransAmerican Empire will come get you, humanity is the China stand in in the novel) white people yell at me for being some kind of asian chauvinist.I have a theory that Westerners from the imperial core think of the Dark Forest and automatically put themselves in the Trisolarian imperialist POV, and are ideologically incapable of switching that POV to the side of the victims of imperialism. That’s the only way I can explain how they could have come away with that conclusion.
Nah, I'm not gonna be as uncharitable as all that (beyond the snark in my original post). Online western leftists have diegetic essentialism built into them as a survival mechanism, so when chuds deliberately push their reading of dark forest theory (and to be fair, it is very easy to see how Game Theory Law of the Jungle, Kill or Be Killed can be read that way) it sets off their Hitler particle detectors. I don't blame them as it's probably the most common take they'd encounter online.
The defensive realpolitik 'Keep your Head Down' reading is only apparent if you're familiar with China's recent history and foreign policy decisions post-Deng.
Are you up to date with internal Chinese geopolitical thought? Is the US's stupid aggression on Taiwan and the self defeating trade war being viewed as a refutation of the idea that tbp is apparently putting forth that China could "keep it's head down" ?
You haven’t read the second book, which went precisely into this.
Book 2 massive spoiler
Humanity became over-confident and thought they had overtaken the Trisolarians despite the technological sanctions, and started to perceive the Trisolarians as making all kinds of stupid mistakes. Maybe now it’s a good time to negotiate peace with them. All will go well, right?
The book is a cautionary tale about misreading intentions. The US imperialism is not something to be taken lightly. They have far more powerful weapons than just military prowess. I cringe everytime I read here that people think the US is going to collapse soon. The US would rather bring the whole world down than to collapse by itself. Being prudent and careful is key to dealing with the US imperialists.
Thank you for the context.
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The part I don't get is the response - flee, fight, infiltrate, asimilate, but hiding from us aggression isn't possible. Plus, like... the US can't do what happens in TBP. Murder and genocide, yes, but the fickle, unstable, easily bored empire is constantly getting pushed back or defeated by nations that are vastly weaker on paper.
If tbp is supposed to endorse trying to "hide" from America all I can really come up with is that the author grossly and terrifyingly fails to understand the source and goals of american aggression.
And another thing - the trisolarans are fucked. They're fleeing their ultra-hostile home system where their annihilation could happen at any moment due to the orbital pattern of their stars. They need to leave, and once they leave they need to conquer earth because they have no where else go go.
The USA is very much the opposite. It's a natural fortress that has all or almost all of the resources needed to maintain itself indefinitely located within it's own borders. US imperialism is premised on the Capitalist drive for infinite profit. We're after cheap resources and cheap labor. If it weren't for the US's imperialist ideology the US could quite comfortably fort up in North America for a very long time.
The Trisolarans aren't an Imperialist power the way such powers exist on earth. There have been a few armies of exiles that have shown up somewhere, wrecked the place, and taken over but that's not the state of politics on earth and never was on any scale. The Trisolarans have a survival imperative that provides a justification within the story for their zero-sum, all or nothing invasion of Earth.
The equivalent of that in America is the
infesting our leadership, not any actually existing material problems. The only real barrier to, if not some utopian friendship, at least peaceful coexistence with China is our economic system. We overthrow capitalism, the primary motivation for conflict falls away.
The author doesn't care about the source or goals of american aggression. The author is more concerned about the effects of american aggression on his country. The author is Chinese and familiar with Chinese history, and is also aware of what happened to Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan, and doesn't want that devastation visited upon his country, so he wrote a sci-fi parable about the wisdom of Dengist foreign policy and the dangers of discarding that foreign policy and attracting american imperial attention before military technological parity was achieved.
I'm sorry, this turned in to a diatribe. I'm really, really, really frightened and it mostly stays buried under a layer of cynicism and irony and distraction, but it broke through here. I'm terrified of this awful country.
Original post follows;
It is essential to victory to understand what your enemy is doing, why they are doing it, and why they think they are doing it.
America's aggression is not based in what most people would consider rational thought. Americans are so utterly, blindly, deludedly convinced of their natural and divine superiority that most of them are not able to conceive of "military parity". MAD was only barely able to contain US aggression and avert a general nuclear exchange. If even a few dozen government and military positions had been occupied by different men America would have committed to a full launch and considered the destruction of most of America's population and much of the world an acceptable price for destroying the Soviets and Chinese.
America cannot accurately perceive China's defensive capabilities. It cannot accurately perceive it's own vulnerabilities. It will launch in to a war it can't win out of sheer arrogance and bloodlust. Normally an enemy like that would be easily defeated, but America's second strike capability and outright insanity makes defeating America in open combat suicidal. China might reach a point where they could destroy the us carrier fleet, there's a good chance they already can. But if they can't kill the entire nuclear triad in an overwhelming first strike they're flipping coins on annihilation.
America is something new in history - the blind mad bloodlust of fascism armed with a nuclear second strike capability that could destroy every major population center in china.
So that's what i don't understand. How any of the attitudes and actions in tbp could constitute a defense against America. I get that this is an old book, and with Obama coming on to the stage at that time it was easy to be misled about the beast and maybe think that change was possible, but it seems hopelessly naive. America doesn't kill for self defense, or for resources. Killing is what America is. It's a self sharpening weapon with no master that destroys because that is it's nature. You can't hide from that, or turtle up behind walls. If defense is even possible you must infect it with something that will cause it to rot from inside and collapse, and hope that in collapsing it doesn't crush the whole world, or else kill it completely in a single moment of overwhelming violence that leaves nothing left alive to retaliate. I don't see any wisdom or strategy in what Liu Cixin is discussing. It's all premised on game theory, rational self interest, and that does not apply to America. This is a strategy for dealing with a wolf, but they're facing a rabid dog.
I don't know if you live here, or deal with Americans, but the thrill and the joy in their voices when they, unprompted, begin talking about how many hundreds of millions or billions they could kill if only they could destroy the Three Gorges Dam or interdict the Malacca Strait is horrifying. I don't have words for it and I'm terrified that the rest of the world doesn't understand what we are.
Yes, very good, except that I don't think the sci-fi author is directing foreign policy here, he's just writing about his own fears of the future of his country into his fiction.
If this were true we'd all be radioactive dust right now. Ask yourself: what would China going to war with America achieve? Especially at any point in history prior to the present day, when China had less military and economic capabilities than it does now? Is China's continued existence as an independent nation not, at the very least, a nod to the efficacy of Deng's "keep a low profile" foreign policy, at that particular historical context? Is it so strange that Liu Cixin would want a continuation of that?
Being a leftist means you believe that a better world is possible. Americans are just like everyone else: people bound by their material conditions. Which means that when those material conditions change, people can change too. Any other belief is hyperbolic idealism and not historical materialism.
I don't live in America, and I don't deal with Americans in my day to day life. But it seems to me that you're the one who doesn't understand the rest of the world, of it's resilience and bravery.
Very good points, thank you for replying. I suppose I need to go pick up some of the CPC's publicatons and Xi's books.
Saw your edit. Hey, it's ok. I get it. We live in the middle of the coin flip of history and not knowing which side it'll land on is scary.
All we can do is do what we can.
Thank you for being kind.
The Trisolarians are not the Americans. They are a metaphor for Imperial Japan (only 4 light years away), a weak imperialist power in a sea of even stronger imperialists who are trying to wipe each other out. (Note: in China, it is not controversial at all to see the Soviet Union as “imperialist”. That’s just how it is commonly perceived as part of the SIno-Soviet relationship, as China sees itself as being stuck in a global confrontation between the US and the USSR. This is why I said, this is a story that is written from the Chinese perspective, not from a Western imperialist perspective like many others.)
质子 (proton) is pronounced exactly the same as 智子 (sophon, or Tomoko, a Japanese female name) gave it away.
Japan underwent modernization in the late 19th century, narrowly avoided the fate of being colonized by Western powers and instead found themselves among the ranks of imperialist powers, driven by the need of resource expansion to colonize China.
Once again, you are trying to take everything at face value rather than exploring the deeper meanings of the story and the philosophical questions that the author is trying to provoke. This is not something you can get from just reading wikipedia pages lol.
One of the most important lines in the Dark Forest:
This was how it was translated into English:
I don’t know how well the translation went over people’s heads, but the point it is trying to provoke is, what is Humanity? If the universe is a hostile Dark Forest state, do we prioritize survival even if it means losing our Humanity? The author has his own predilection, but it doesn’t make the questions less provocative.
If the only way to survive in the world of harsh capitalism is to join the imperialist ranks (that includes the Soviet Union from the Chinese perspective, mind you, though I don’t agree with that labeling), then what is better: to survive at the cost of Humanity that defines us in the first place, or to preserve Humanity at all cost, even if it means this will lead to our own demise?
The title of Book 3 is translated as “Death’s End”, but in Chinese it is called 《死神永生》, which more accurately should be translated to something like “The God of Death is Eternal”.
spoiler for Book 3
The third book went much further that spanned the entire timeline until the end of the Universe. Big fish, small fish (big imperialists, small imperialists) - at the end of time they are nothing more than a speck of dust in the universe. Nobody can escape the God of Death.
And if that’s the case, is there a point to prolonging our survival, at the cost of all the traits that define us as Humanity to begin with?
So, make time for civilization, for civilization won’t make time.
Again, you cannot just read wikipedia and say that you know it all. It’s just fiction at the end of the day, but the point is to think about the questions it’s trying to provoke.
Huh, that is a really interesting reading. Maybe the Trisolarans can be used as a more generalised metaphor for imperialists then?
Is it accurate to say that the books can be read as an interrogation of recent Chinese history (from a modern, maybe somewhat liberal perspective), and it's trajectory? I haven't read books 2 & 3 to comment on them further.
The Trisolarians are Japanese in the sense that they are most relatable to a Chinese audience given its historical context, but the first book was written in the early 2000s, in the wake of the worst US-China relations that followed the 1999 Chinese embassy bombing in Yugoslavia and the 2001 Hainan Island incident, which nearly sparked a war between both countries (people old enough will remember how close we were at war back then, not to mention that China was far weaker than it is today) only to be averted by 9/11 attack later that year, as the US shifted its attention away from China to the Middle East for the next decade, followed by the 2009 financial crisis and spared China from immediate threat for almost 20 years.
So, yes, Trisolarians can be seen as a metaphor that combines former (Japan) and current oppressors (America), although many references about the Trisolarians in the books hinted strongly at Imperial Japan. It’s fiction at the end of the day and I don’t know why people are trying so hard to see a 1:1 reference to the real world, rather than extracting the meanings and exploring the questions the story itself provokes in relation to the real world.
Books 2 and 3 went further into the Earth-Trisolaris conflict but the point I want to make is that even though the author has his own predilection (and it shows in the novel, and ones that I don’t necessarily agree with), the reason why the books are so great is that it prompts questions that provokes further, deeper thoughts, rather than just the author unloading on you his own beliefs and ideology.
I won’t spoil Book 3 here, but there is a huge plotline in that book that goes into decoding and extracting meanings from what appears to be just a typical story. The author literally hinted that there are deeper layers of meaning to be decoded in all 3 of his books.
I guess there are people who read the novels and just want to be handed the messages at face value, and people who read the novels but also try to contemplate and explore the deeper meanings especially in contemporary context.
Yeah, I had vague recollections about this, along with Deng's foreign policy which is what I based my reading of the book on.
Yeah, in this thread I was trying to simplify and make the analogies as obvious as possible but what you said is true, we should be focusing on the questions the books provoke.
Sounds about right tbh
Its really amazing how Liu can accomplish conveying such thought provoking, heavy themes, while at the same time making his novels addictive to read.
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Okay, true, frequently encountered issue with trying to portray America realistically in fiction.
I'll fully cop to not having read the book and thus not knowing about the nuances, but Dark Forest existed as a proposed answer to the Fermi Paradox well before Three Body Problem was written, and I really do think people need to examine the mindset that leads someone to theorize that the reason we don't hear from other civilizations is that any attempts to contact another one results in immediate annihilation. This shit doesn't form in a vacuum.
It just sounds like there's enough little nitpicky things in the books that they'll bother me, and I don't need my brain chasing down more loose ends to ruminate over. I am still pissed about how shitty His Dark Materials was after hearing all the praise it got, and it's been damn near 20 years. I can't get those plot holes out of my head. Parts of me are still mad at them.
Cringe? Maybe. I don't really give a fuck if people think I'm cringe anymore.
Hey, look, as a person living in a glass house I'm not about to just start throwing cringe stones everywhere, but imo I think we should be really clear on whether we're discussing the Three Body Problem (the book/tv show) or The Dark Forest Theory (the thought experiment), because there absolutely are legitimate criticisms of both of those things, but we kinda need to be careful not to conflate the two, because the chief concern of the book is the question "Is it possible for China to not get colonised by a technologically superior foe?", which is somewhat related but quite a bit different from the "The Reason we don't hear from aliens is because everyone's really mean".
This is really more of a meta-discussion about the things people say about the book. I'm in no position to actually criticize the book, just the things I've heard about it that make it sound unappealing to me. I don't really know what the book's ideological bent is, but the way I've seen it marketed and discussed is "Dark Forest Theory: The Book (now extra depressing!)" so it's understandable people unfamiliar with it would conflate the two
I do think Dark Forest is total horseshit, tbh. Feels way too simplistic and just takes it as a given that relativistic weaponry is possible, practical, and can't be countered, and seems to think launching a civilization-scale attack across interstellar distances is not something that would signal your presence to other civilizations. Don't send radio signals! Things that wipe out entire solar systems? Very smart to send, probably nobody will notice. Like, what happens when the Trisolarans successfully invade? An entire species loading up into ships and hurling themselves at sublight in a linear direction isn't something others would notice? What happens when the Quadsolarans show up and use their superiorior super-technology to beat them up? Then the Pentasolarans and on and on in a DBZ-esque power creep forever and ever? Maybe I'm just being a smartass about it but it feels like it doesn't hold water to me.
Ok? But the things people are saying about the book are wrong tho, either because we're going on hearsay or because of misreading of the text (deliberate or otherwise) and what it is trying to say. Dark Forest Theory as it's used in The Three Body Problem is a sci-fi narrative framing device to discuss US-China relations, and imo I don't think the book is particularly interested in exploring the idea beyond that allegorical framing.
Oh yeah totally I agree with you on that. I don't think any sufficiently advanced civilization can advance beyond their solar system without communism, and once a civilization is capable of interstellar travel they probably are capable of defending themselves from extinction anyway.
(Also I think the scenario you outline happens in the books but I haven't read that far yet.)
I bet when the Dodecasolarans arrive it gets real fucked up
I just saw something that happens in the book called out for this. A dude sends a radio signal from a star to test the "dark forest". The star blows up, so they decide yes, the dark forest is in effect. But the obvious problem is that the attackers don't do any follow up. They don't scout the star to see if anyone is actually there, they don't treat it as a potential trap by the dark forest predator they're supposed to be hiding from. If you shoot a giant relativistic or ftl or magic weapon at someone and you don't kill all of them at the same time they'll just follow the line of your weapon back to you and either counter-attack and wipe you out, or broad-band your position to everyone else so you get wiped out anyway.
The solution to the Dark Forest is War Games: the only winning move is not to play. The book seems like it's trying to engage with nuclear deterrence and MAD is some way, but then forgets about second-strike weapons - nuclear missile armed submarines - that are the foundation on which MAD rests. If second-strike weapons exist you can't do silly shit like this. Maybe it's supposed to make some kind of sense in the silly space-magic of the book, but irl the us can't destroy China without destroying itself and the whole world.
Id recommend reading the books for this part, its a harrowing space battle.
Maybe that's why I didn't get it. Trying to keep your head down and not draw the US's ire is the worst possible way to deal with a belligerent facist power engaged in a zero-sum game of world domination. Also, the relationship is radically different - the us and china are primary trade partners, Earth uses multiple layers of MAD as nuclear deterrent, we can literally go visit each other whenever.
Like i don't really get what the author was going for how can China hide from the US? How does the relationship between earth and the trisolarans map to the us/china relationship at all?
Ok I'll elaborate but don't get mad at me for pointing out things that are kinda obvious from an asian perspective that seemingly alot of western commentators miss/overlook. I'm also not going to claim to be an expert on Chinese foreign policy.
Ah, yes, which is famously why China has gone to war with the United States to establish global communism in the time since the Korean War. To quote Deng Xiaoping, Chinese foreign policy since the 1980's has been “biding our time and hiding our capabilities”. Actually pertinent leftist criticism of Dengism and China has been the amount (or lack thereof) of support for socialist causes/states, especially post Sino-Soviet split. Ask yourself: if China is socialist, why are the us and china trade partners? Shouldn't principled communists fight to end capitalism at every turn? (And to be clear so I don't get mistaken for an ultra: there are very good reasons for China embarking on the the path it has taken. But this is still a valid criticism.)
It needs to be stated that China has had a long history of being the victim of colonial powers. The Century of Humiliation is as important context for this work as the Cultural Revolution, and much of the driving force that created the Chinese Communist Party and fuels Chinese nationalism to this day is the desire to avoid a repeat of that dark time. The Dark Forest Theory as it is presented in the book is meant to be approached from the defender's side: is it wise to bide our time and hide our capabilities? Is it enough?
It's a Sci-fi allegory to frame the question: "Is it possible for a technologically inferior nation to avoid colonization by a technologically superior one, and if so how?"
I think it goes without saying that a Chinese author might give a pessimistic answer.
Also, to cover all my bases: Chinese foreign policy has shifted rather significantly under Xi Jinping to a more active role. Please remember that the Three Body Problem was published in 2008. Also, and this should really go without saying- it reflects the views and fears of the author only, and all that entails. Whether the allegory is as relevant now as it was when it was published is a separate matter of discussion.
Just speaking on the first book (I haven't finished books 2 & 3):
The main antagonist is a comprador who gets disillusioned with communism and sells out her
countryplanet.The Trisolaran's uses espionage and soft power propaganda (literally videogames) to sway the brightest of minds of humanity to their side. Reminder, the book was written in the 2000's, when Chinese fears of a brain drain were real.
The biggest one: the Trisolaran's grand plan is to freeze technological progress on Earth. The US has been attempting to do the same to China by sanctioning semiconductors.
This is kinda the open question the work is concerned with, and in the end the conclusion is that
HumanityChina can't? That the only conclusion to avoid open war and colonisation is technological parity?I feel like I'm the only person who thinks and says this, everybody else (including leftists) is obsessed with random shit like China cheating on their SATs or building trains or fake genocides.
I mean, the problem is that you can kinda trip and fall into US state department talking points if you're not careful, so I get why people don't do it in leftist spaces online.
Personally, I feel that since I can't influence Chinese policy one way or the other and that only the passage of time will reveal whether Socialism with Chinese Characteristics pans out or not, I should focus on what I can do locally rather than worry if China is actually communist or not.
That said, Xi please
Fyi about 3 years ago, our minister for cracker control, Black Red Guard, also mentioned China's lack of material support to Nepal's recent Maoist revolution.
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Yes that also falls under his area of responsibility, fighting the good fight against suburban karens lol
I mean I've listened to the audiobooks and I got to say if the Dark Forest is a metaphor for Chinese foreign policy than holy shit is it a bad one, the premise just absolutely swamps the supposed subtext to the point the author could only advance the plot thru contrivance and mangled subplots about magic WMDs
The premise itself is never actaully subverted or even examined in any serious way, by the half way point of the second book it's just completely taken at face value and as a result the narrative grinds to a halt, earth gets fucked in the end, the universe is collapsing and the constant timeskips destroys any hope of stakes or urgency in the plot
I just don't see anything analogous with the Dark Forest theory and modern Asian geopolitics
Avoiding open confrontation with a technologically superior opponent? (Again, the Three Body Problem was published in 2008. China's military capability has greatly grown since then.) Approach it from the defender's perspective: if there's a genocidal fascist colonist entity, do you risk broadcasting your location/global presence or is it wiser to do everything you can to avoid notice?
Are the books about the consequences of drawing the attention of that entity?
See this is where the metaphor just completely breaks down, how is China gonna avoid "broadcasting its location/global presence" what does that even mean in the context of geopolitics circa 2008?
This is what I mean when I say the premise swamps/overwhelms the subtext, the metaphor is 300 years out of date and historically incoherent
For the subtext of "avoiding open confrontation with a technologically superior opponent" to work, the premise and the books should've begun with a post-alien invasion storyline, something like Yakitori: Soldiers of Misfortune or Gintama, the remote spooky mysteriousness of the Dark Forest Theory acts too much like linear pathing in a video game, if you take the implications of the theory seriously there's only one way for the plot to go and it doesn't gel well with the subtext the author was trying to advance
It means Dengism. To quote Deng Xiaoping on Chinese foreign policy circa the 1980s: “observe calmly, secure our position, cope with affairs calmly, hide our capacities and bide our time, be good at maintaining a low profile, and never claim leadership.”
The metaphor's 40 years out of date, rather than 300.
I mean, in the context of Chinese national defense it means that technological parity is the only means of avoiding disaster, and the books are kinda about the disaster that happens if you attract the notice of a technologically superior opponent without achieving technological parity first
China is based but hiding there power level, duh.
I feel like it's worth mentioning that Obama was a big fan of this book series & I first heard about it on NPR of all places.
I think this is just called science fiction haha
My impression of the genre is that most authors start with an interesting premise (especially when writing hard sci fi) and develop the story to explore it. From reading Ball Lightning and this trilogy, I don't think Liu Cixin is an exception -- like many sci fi authors, his background is in engineering, not literature.
I see the story as sci fi first and allegory second (to the extent a grand allegory, not just some echoes of the real world, was intended at all). My guess is this is how the author wrote it, too.
I love how Hexbears just make up their minds about what they think of the works they never even bothered to read lol. Never change.
I didn't make up my mind, I stated the impression I have of it based on what I've gleaned and stating my non-interest
Yes that thing we do with Harry Potter all the time yeah
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I must read all Harry Potter books before I can dunk on them for portraying slavery as totally cool
i mean yeah if you've never read the books it's pretty cringe to say stuff like that. you don't know how slavery is portrayed in the books, you havent read them.
I can criticize the books for that because I've read them and know how the main character is literally a slave owner, but for all you know I made that up.
How is it cringe at all? Learning about the house-elf underclass and calling it dogshit does not require you to imbibe the works of jowling kowling Rowling
it's cringe because you literally don't know what you're talking about. like in the literal sense, you do not know of that which you speak. no investigation, no right to speak and so on.
a work featuring a slave class does not make it bad or pro-slavery. harry potter is bad and pro-slavery, but it's only not cringe for me to say that because I've read the books and know what I'm talking about. if you dont know what you're talking about you shouldn't talk about it.
And I’m saying, you can learn the positive and negative qualities of a work without consuming it directly. We’re talking past each other
I think you are the minority of that one
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You're right, fascism famously has nothing to do with the notion of a clash of civilizations wherein one must entirely subvert or eliminate the other as an inevitability of coexistence
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Bit off topic, but there is something really fucked up about our universe that the cold hard laws of math dictate that the best possible course of action upon encountering other sentient life is to destroy it because it might destroy you first.
That is so depressing, can't wait for heat death to end this horrific nightmare permanently.
Don't worry, Dark Forest Theory is probably total bullshit since it just assumes alien civilizations will be monolithic in nature or coordinated enough to have a singular response to the presence of any rival civilization
But if it is true we're literally already dead since we've been blasting radio waves into the aether for over a century
That's the thing that annoys me most whenever I talk to someone who can't shut the fuck about the dark forest and wants to frantically shut down all attempts to communicate with possible aliens.
And it's not even just the radio waves. Apparently they become too diffuse and garbled to detect easily after a few hundred light years anyway. The real problem is the fact that any alien civilization with both the will and resources to take us out from thousands to millions of light years away would have already known about life on Earth for the past billion years. It's no secret. Whenever the Earth passes in front of the Sun, anyone within that line of sight observing with a sufficiently powerful telescope will clearly see spectroscopic evidence of both methane and oxygen in the atmosphere. That sort of atmosphere just doesn't exist naturally in equilibrium without life constantly replenishing it. It's what astronomers call a bio-signature. So these potential omnicidal aliens have had more than enough time to throw a rock at Earth at 99% the speed of light, and that rock has had plenty of time to get here.
Maybe they only want to kill technological civilizations? Well, in that case they'd be monitoring planets known to support life, waiting for something they consider a threat to evolve. Clearly Earth would have been one of those planets on their watch list for a very long time, and by now their spectroscopy data is showing them all of the weird shit we're extremely suddenly dumping into the atmosphere, an obvious techno-signature.
So hiding from them is very clearly not a productive use of our resources. If the dark forest really is the solution to the Fermi paradox, then we have a near light speed rock with our name on it no matter what we do or don't do. Stealth does not exist in space. So we might as well just try to be friendly and open to any other alien civilizations that might be out there.
I've gone through like three different periods of trying to understand why everyone is so jazzed with tbp and my opinion of the story drops each time i try to figure it out. I have now arrived at the conclusion that it's science fiction for people who lurk on next door and call the cops on kids wearing hoodies.
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If you start shooting brown dwarfs at your neighbors everyone is going to gang up on you and you're going to have a bad time. The idea that communication between critters that have all built rocket ships is so impossible that we'd never be able to communicate strikes me as more of a "STEM people don't read" problem, I odn't think Anthropologists or sociologists or linguists would ever have come up with this idea.
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Uh Dark Forest Theory makes no assumption on coordination between alien species? At least the one in the book. In fact it argues the opposite, no coordination happens at all, civilizations just act the way they do because they have no other choice
Not between rival alien civs, within them. The most implausible bit is the one where there's no factions among the aliens who all agree to immediately kill everyone they detect just to be safe, and are capable of the global coordination needed to do just that
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The laws don't, it's all silly techbro bullshit.the kind of weapons, communications, and sensors "Dark Forest" requires are silly nonsense. It has an enormous number of holes. It's pretty easy to detect whether planets out to quite long distances have organic life on them, so why hasn't someone used their magic hyperspace lasers to blast every life baring planet, including us? If you want to destroy a solar system you've got to be at a level where you could shoot, idk, Jupiter, at another solar system. How are you going to do that? You'd pretty well have to turn an entire solar system in to a gun and people are going to notice if you re-configure a solar system to do that. If you build a dyson swarm and use it as a giant laser folks will notice the dimming of the star and everyone near the path of the beam will notice it and be aware of it's point of origin.
Dark Forest mostly drastically misunderstands how big space is, how stealth in space can and cannot work, how probability works, how rare life is, and makes a whole bunch of silly assumptions not least of which is that it's worth anyone's time to pretend that there are magic people in the sky who will punish us for being naughty.
I compare it to Pascal's Wager for illiterate tech bros. It's exactly as worthy of consideration as Roko's Basilisk.
Thats a good point, I assumed people came up with it by drawing four squares with labels and then bringing in MatPat to do his game theory magic on it. But then if the assumptions are fundamentally bankrupt then the conclusion will be garbage too lmao
spoiler
Like I remember that in the story, the ayyys exterminatus each other by shooting small projectiles at lightspeed that somehow magically can't be tracked by anyone to find their origin and/or by hiding in little pocket dimensions and shooting things that collapse spacetime into lesser dimensions, turning people into anime IRL. Its still correct that it would be impossible for a civilization to pull shit like that off without getting noticed in turn, assuming the ayyys who shoot the small projectiles are lesser than the pocket-dimension ayyys in terms of technology.
So ig at the end of the day its just a theory, a game theory.
And thus, the 69th iteration of Christianity was invented, this time, for the anprims. May we never leave the comfort of the caves.