Idk I have to imagine party leadership is watching the shitshow that is the russia Ukraine conflict and learning what not to do. The situations are quite different though
Taiwan is much smaller, but i expect resistance to be much better organized than Ukraine. Unless the PRC convinces everyone there to just surrender, but i doubt the US would let that happen.
taiwan is an even greater lost cause than ukraine. it would be trivial for such a numerically superior power such as china to take the island at this point. and a good amount of the population supports the idea even. all of its major cities are on the coast near large rivers that big ships can sail into. the american navy is so stretched thin that it would take them at least 3-7 days to amass the whole navy and get anywhere near to being able to compete with chinas ships off their own coast. and if they do compete with china there that essentially means the american global empire is over because they put all the eggs in one basket.
without US/Japanese naval aid theres really no chance
the only reason they havent done this is they wanted their own industries and independence first and would prefer a peaceful solution anyways in order to keep the TSMC setup as intact as possible
taiwan is still an island which massively bottlenecks China's advantages. an opposed amphibious landing has not yet been done with modern peer forces to my knowledge and my instinct is very, very, gruesome for everyone involved
The people most pro-Ukrainian are fascist Ukrainian paramilitary while the people most pro-Taiwan independence are a bunch of petty bourgeois activists who dodge conscription.
Idk I have to imagine party leadership is watching the shitshow that is the russia Ukraine conflict and learning what not to do. The situations are quite different though
Taiwan is much smaller, but i expect resistance to be much better organized than Ukraine. Unless the PRC convinces everyone there to just surrender, but i doubt the US would let that happen.
taiwan is an even greater lost cause than ukraine. it would be trivial for such a numerically superior power such as china to take the island at this point. and a good amount of the population supports the idea even. all of its major cities are on the coast near large rivers that big ships can sail into. the american navy is so stretched thin that it would take them at least 3-7 days to amass the whole navy and get anywhere near to being able to compete with chinas ships off their own coast. and if they do compete with china there that essentially means the american global empire is over because they put all the eggs in one basket.
without US/Japanese naval aid theres really no chance
the only reason they havent done this is they wanted their own industries and independence first and would prefer a peaceful solution anyways in order to keep the TSMC setup as intact as possible
taiwan is still an island which massively bottlenecks China's advantages. an opposed amphibious landing has not yet been done with modern peer forces to my knowledge and my instinct is very, very, gruesome for everyone involved
The people most pro-Ukrainian are fascist Ukrainian paramilitary while the people most pro-Taiwan independence are a bunch of petty bourgeois activists who dodge conscription.
Or even straight up Bourgeois like those with stakes over the TSMC.