https://bsky.app/profile/paleofuture.bsky.social/post/3kqo77rxcor2d

  • @alcoholicorn@lemmy.ml
    hexbear
    33
    edit-2
    20 days ago

    Does this imply a low-turn out could favor Biden?

    Honestly I think this analysis is dumb just because non-voters aren't a bloc. You have to look at which groups of voters/non-voters are more likely to not vote.

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      hexbear
      36
      20 days ago

      Does this imply a low-turn out could favor Biden?

      Some people in the thread seem to think so.

      It would be strange if democracy was saved by people not registering and voting.

      It really would

    • FunkyStuff [he/him]
      hexbear
      19
      20 days ago

      Only if roughly the same people decide to vote. Given that many of the people who won't vote Biden due to the genocide are very engaged in politics and probably voted in previous elections, chances are turnout isn't a single parameter that can so easily be used to predict anything about the outcome.

  • betelgeuse [comrade/them]
    hexbear
    28
    19 days ago

    >We need to vote Biden so people will show up
    >Biden unpopular among people who won't show up

    Vote Biden to convince the people who vote for him already that he may be the lesser Hitler.

  • Rx_Hawk [he/him]
    hexbear
    24
    19 days ago

    Trump running the country from prison will be le epic

  • Guamer [she/her]
    hexbear
    20
    19 days ago

    So is this line of thinking the latest Dem copium for Biden struggling in most normal polls

  • Tabitha ☢️[she/her]
    hexbear
    18
    20 days ago

    Has Trump firmly come out as pro/anti genocide? AFAIK they're both already all in on Cold War 2.

  • ProfessorAdonisCnut [he/him]
    hexbear
    12
    19 days ago

    Wait what's that 'and' doing? I feel like it's actually saying that Biden is up with people who vote in the mid-terms and avoiding saying anything about the people who skip them.

  • edge [he/him]
    hexbear
    12
    20 days ago

    Possible interpretation: Trump supporters in 2020 thought he was going to win easily, so many stayed home (and never bother with midterms). That could mean a bigger turnout for Trump this year since they know he might lose.

    • CTHlurker [he/him]
      hexbear
      8
      19 days ago

      Didn't Roger Stone also complain about a lot of republican voters staying home since they believed all the shit about the elections being rigged (btw, sign of a mega-cucked electorate when they unquestionably accept that elections are rigged and then just do nothing about it)

  • emizeko [they/them]
    hexbear
    11
    edit-2
    19 days ago

    anybody between 18 and 21 years old didn't vote in 2020 & 2022...

  • Cherufe [he/him]
    hexbear
    8
    20 days ago

    The most important election will have the smallest turnaround lol