I think that one of the big possible shift would be Saudi Arabia making a clean break with the US in favor of non-alignment/cozying up with BRICS, while Iran undergoes a political thaw and withdraws from its commitments in Syria/Yemen/Lebanon/etc... due to a lack of domestic support for the Axis of Resistance.
In other words, perhaps we could see a winding down of the US/Saudi v. Iran struggle for regional leadership in the Middle East.
I know a couple of iranians (who have lived in the west for at least 20 years now) who all say that the average iranian hates the leadership for their support of shia minorities in the neighbouring countries, since the iranians themselves are desperately poor, and they (maybe rightfully) view all this support for other countries / militias as a theft from their own population, who are suffering heavily under the sanctions. I think their argument is that the leadership spends a lot of money to ensure that they don't get invaded by their neighbours, but meanwhile the people are suffering heavily, and when you are that poor, you really need to spend your money wisely to develop.
I don't really know what to think of this, since I don't speak Farsi and can't really interact wiht iranians other than the ones who moved to the west, and more or less entirely assimilated into western liberalism.
With the sectarian violence that in the Syrian civil war, Yemen and elsewhere, I am personally swayed by the argument that Iranian aid is necessary to prevent a genocide of Shia and other minority sects in the region. I dunno how accurate that picture is though.
I think that one of the big possible shift would be Saudi Arabia making a clean break with the US in favor of non-alignment/cozying up with BRICS, while Iran undergoes a political thaw and withdraws from its commitments in Syria/Yemen/Lebanon/etc... due to a lack of domestic support for the Axis of Resistance.
In other words, perhaps we could see a winding down of the US/Saudi v. Iran struggle for regional leadership in the Middle East.
I know a couple of iranians (who have lived in the west for at least 20 years now) who all say that the average iranian hates the leadership for their support of shia minorities in the neighbouring countries, since the iranians themselves are desperately poor, and they (maybe rightfully) view all this support for other countries / militias as a theft from their own population, who are suffering heavily under the sanctions. I think their argument is that the leadership spends a lot of money to ensure that they don't get invaded by their neighbours, but meanwhile the people are suffering heavily, and when you are that poor, you really need to spend your money wisely to develop.
I don't really know what to think of this, since I don't speak Farsi and can't really interact wiht iranians other than the ones who moved to the west, and more or less entirely assimilated into western liberalism.
With the sectarian violence that in the Syrian civil war, Yemen and elsewhere, I am personally swayed by the argument that Iranian aid is necessary to prevent a genocide of Shia and other minority sects in the region. I dunno how accurate that picture is though.