im bored
it can be realistic or insane, doesn't matter
US hegemony will continue to disintegrate, but the US military will continue to bomb and invade countries regardless. Much like the Roman empire, we will still be winning battles all the way up until our army collapses for economic reasons.
Iran will have a cultural revolution. Hard to say whether it will manifest as an explosion of art and music or a series of explosions and a civil war - I'm sure the CIA will push for the latter but the average Iranian will go for the former.
EU will go full fash, but unlike the fascists of the 20th century the brown wave will be too heavily tied up with neoliberal projects to do anything besides scapegoat minorities and virtue signal. Things will get worse for European Jews, Roma, Muslims, LGBT, etc but the only genocide that will be of non-Europeans at the border.
Red wave in southeast Asia, red wave in India, red wave in Africa and South America. The 2020s is the decade where all of the third worldists get proven right!
China will become the biggest producer of milk in the world, and much of this will be produced by yeast. The American dairy industry will ban this technology, and vat-grown milk from China. China will retaliate by blocking American milk exports. This will spiral into a trade war. However, despite grumbles from European fromagiers, the EU will ultimately allow the technology and imports from China cause they don't have any fertilizer for their own cow feed or electricity for their bioreactors. Thus begins the EU's too-late drift from American hegemony.
you can make milk with yeast???
that's magical as fuck, big ups to the guy who invented yeast
Yeah. You can genetically engineer yeast and bacteria to produce very useful things such as insulin, rennet, whey, and casein.
Google Amazon and the other giants get officially recognized by the UN as having sovereign interest and political privilege.
I can see corporations gaining political powers like vetoing EU entry or "legally" embargoing third world nations, yeah.
Maine lobster go extinct in the wild, resulting in successful revolution in New England. the Peoples Republic of Massachusetts Bay goes full Climate Stalin
The United States will do regime change in Saudi Arabia, not because of the theocratic monarchy or whatever, but because they aren't lowering oil prices when the USA tells them to anymore.
-
UK will implode as they are looted by America and Labour are basically more moderate Tories who will continue their disastrous policies
-
EU will barely survive; but will enter into their version of the lost decade as America loots them as well; fascists are elected all over Europe but fail to actually reverse the decline because most of them are pro-NATO/neoliberalism anyway
-
America will increasingly sustain itself by looting the rest of the imperial core but will still have a major rise of fascism. Trump will most likely be reelected and make things worse
-
India has a 50/50 change of doing well assuming they go economic nationalist and avoid joining the west in their anti-China Cold War
-
Japan and South Korea will continue to decline as they have been for decades
-
China will probably do well, but they have to manage COVID to avoid millions of deaths
-
Russia survives sanctions; but it all depends on how left wing Putin's successor will be; as far as the war, I'm a pessimist so I think Russia will only be able reclaim the Donbass and Ukraine will eventually be forced into a treaty after they and their NATO backers realize that there are no more 12 year olds in the country because they have all been mowed down on the front lines and the 8 year olds don't make effective cannon fodder
-
South America and Africa will drift from America and Europe but will still experience many coups/interventions; Argentina is currently having a right wing coup
India will not join the west in a new cold war. Since it seems to be continuing it's non aligned policy
And I think being between Russia and the US is good for India to prevent hostilities with China. Like if they were completely on the side of the US it would increase tensions
Many affluent families in India will have relatives who live abroad, probably in English speaking countries. Soon I'll have no siblings or first cousins living in India. And that probably does have some effect in things but like it's not going to get India to spend 10 times more buying military hardware from the US instead of Russia
An overwhelming number of Indians living abroad work in tech. But in India they are just a slice of the urban population, and the urban population is just 35% of the country.
-
India and China decide to resolve their border disputes by having their mountain soldiers perform sick tricks while skiing or snowboarding
Really cool to imagine neoliberalism is a warlock brew or some shit dude. China's had to engage with markets because they NEED CAPITAL. That's not some selfish desire, those are the conditions.
You gotta admit though, China becoming the neoliberal hedgemon would be incredibly funny in a dark kind of way, even if it more or less condems the entire planet to destruction.
Yeah I am aware this is where you're all getting this idea. Not Marxism, it's pessimism. Fuck you.
Stalin: Socialism in one country.
Xi: Socialism with it's boot on the neck of all crackkka countries.
But those conditions have led to the rise of a massive Chinese bourgeois class which very well may seize power from Xi in the next decade. He's not getting any younger.
This is just idle speculation, you don't actually have anything up the latter assumption lmao
What have the bourgeois class recently done to thumb their nose at the communist party successfully? Name something, don't blow air at me!
I'm assuming they're partly to blame for the lockdown protests, and we can be fairly confident the CIA is attempting to fund troublemakers. But yes, this is just idle speculation based on the general nature of bourgeois classes rather than the actual actions of the Chinese bourgeois.
TBH it's not clear if you mean China is neoliberal (main difference being the ruling class is Chinese instead of eurokkkean) or if you're saying they're building a socialist state and exporting neoliberalism to their economic colonies or if you mean they're exporting neoliberalism to accelerate the global working class to class consciousness.
On the contrary, I think that renewed socialist vigor will arise in the masses in China. The youth are already disaffected by the rapid economic growth and relentless work schedules of the last few decades. If there is going to be a political sea change in China, I have to believe that they have the instruments to empower the proletariat more so than any other country in the world. Show me a neoliberal country that executes billionaires for corruption.
I think that one of the big possible shift would be Saudi Arabia making a clean break with the US in favor of non-alignment/cozying up with BRICS, while Iran undergoes a political thaw and withdraws from its commitments in Syria/Yemen/Lebanon/etc... due to a lack of domestic support for the Axis of Resistance.
In other words, perhaps we could see a winding down of the US/Saudi v. Iran struggle for regional leadership in the Middle East.
I know a couple of iranians (who have lived in the west for at least 20 years now) who all say that the average iranian hates the leadership for their support of shia minorities in the neighbouring countries, since the iranians themselves are desperately poor, and they (maybe rightfully) view all this support for other countries / militias as a theft from their own population, who are suffering heavily under the sanctions. I think their argument is that the leadership spends a lot of money to ensure that they don't get invaded by their neighbours, but meanwhile the people are suffering heavily, and when you are that poor, you really need to spend your money wisely to develop.
I don't really know what to think of this, since I don't speak Farsi and can't really interact wiht iranians other than the ones who moved to the west, and more or less entirely assimilated into western liberalism.
With the sectarian violence that in the Syrian civil war, Yemen and elsewhere, I am personally swayed by the argument that Iranian aid is necessary to prevent a genocide of Shia and other minority sects in the region. I dunno how accurate that picture is though.
Ukraine's gonna lose and honestly that could impact the people who bought into their inevitable victory due to watching too many "Russian Tire Falls Off Russian Car (Funny Mememay)" posts on Reddit
US starts a proxy war over Taiwan, while Ukraine war is still ongoing. Annual military spending breaks $2 trillion. Several major US bridges collapse, which the president says is God's punishment for trans people existing.
