A group of U.S. researchers has modelled where society’s current path — an unmitigated spread of COVID — would lead. They concluded that unfettered transmission could result in death tolls exceeding 100,000 a year in the U.S. alone. “Endemicity is not a victory,” they added.
:doomer:
Isn't the US already way past 100, 000 covid deaths per year?
It's probably like 5x that
Including excess morbidity, probably. We were talking over 250k back in September from covid infection only.
edit: shit, my bad. It was at least 225,000 as of late September
Why exactly wouldn't you include all people?
Apologies, but I'm not quite sure what you mean? We don't have exact numbers for things like excess morbidity or covid infections right now, because states are holding back numbers to fudge averages and current numbers. For example, Florida has been only releasing data every 2 weeks, and I'm not even sure what other states have been doing.
Fair sorry I misread your comment
No worries, might've been poor wording on my part.
Consistently through the pandemic every estimate given has been far lower than the trend suggests and seems to assume that we’ll have some dramatic drop off in deaths for some reason
Check my comments on this post, it's all manufacturing consent bullshit. The billionaires fund studies that are optimistic and because they're billionaire funded they get elevated among politicians and news media. That's the polite, generous, they're all acting in good faith, it's not a conspiracy take. I'm sure we can all extrapolate something darker.
Something cursed that could be occurring is that as each year progresses the 100k excess deaths push up the average so each year the excess 100k is already cumulative on the new average