With it being overwhelmingly likely that Ukraine will receive Germany's Leopard tanks (whether from Germany itself or Poland), German tanks once again roll into battle against Russian forces after nearly a century.

Can the Leopard succeed against the Russian army where it failed in Syria? We'll find out soon enough.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.

January 23rd's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

January 25th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

January 27th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

January 28th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.

Links and Stuff

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Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can, thank you.

Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)

Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are fairly brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. The Duran, of which he co-hosts, is where the chuddery really begins to spill out.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.

https://t.me/asbmil ~ Now rebranded as Battlefield Insights, they do infrequent posts on the conflict.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of the really big pro-Russian (except when they're being pessismistic, which is often) telegram channels focussing on the war. Russian language.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Any Western media outlet that is even vaguely liberal (and quite a few conservative ones too).

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.

Last week's discussion post.

  • thelastaxolotl [he/him]
    ·
    2 years ago

    Erdogan says Turkey may block Sweden's Nato membership bid

    tweet

    Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has suggested that Ankara may agree to Finland joining Nato, but not Sweden.

    He criticised Sweden's refusal to extradite dozens of people allegedly tied to Kurdish militant groups and other critics of his government.

    "If you absolutely want to join Nato, you will return these terrorists to us," said Mr Erdogan.

    His comments come days after Turkey suspended talks to accept the two Nordic nations as members.

    it would be really funny if he did block sweden and finland from joining again

      • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
        ·
        2 years ago

        He's got an election coming up, there's no way that he allows Sweden in. Finland, eh, who knows. It's the more important of the two anyway; I can totally see Erdogan using it as a bargaining chip against Russia (although if America is signing their own independent military deals with Sweden and Finland then the power of that chip is decreasing).

                • SoyViking [he/him]
                  ·
                  2 years ago

                  The German economy might be doing well but the German people surely isn't. The cost of living crisis will have political consequences, most of them fascist because we live in hell, but unrest caused by a decreasing availability of not only treats but also necessities is going to destabilise Germany and Europe.

          • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
            ·
            2 years ago

            I think it's one possible endstage of NATO; where the institution itself either just kinda slowly decays into the background as Europe stagnates and its industry crumbles, or some anti-American nationalists rise up in France, Germany, Italy, Poland, etc etc and withdraw from NATO (Scholz and Macron are way too cowardly to do it even if they currently realize that they're being played by the Dark Lord Brandon). And instead nations either rely on whatever industry they have, or band together with other imperial subjects, like Japan or South Korea, in order to boost their defence. And some stay bound to the United States.

            This would be on a timescale of decades though, like I don't think if somebody like Le Pen or somebody in the AfD won the next elections then they would take that step necessarily (like we saw with Meloni just kinda... keeping the status quo but worse), but the people after them might do it.