Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.
Here is the archive of important pieces of analysis from throughout the war that we've collected.
January 16th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 17th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 18th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 20th's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
January 21st's update is here on the site and here in the comments.
Links and Stuff
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Add to the above list if you can, thank you.
Resources For Understanding The War Beyond The Bulletins
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. I recommend their map more than the channel at this point, as an increasing subscriber count has greatly diminished their quality.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have good analysis (though also a couple bad takes here and there)
Understanding War and the Saker: neo-conservative sources but their reporting of the war (so far) seems to line up with reality better than most liberal sources. Beware of chuddery.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are fairly brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. The Duran, of which he co-hosts, is where the chuddery really begins to spill out.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent journalist reporting in the Ukrainian warzones.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Telegram Channels
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
Pro-Russian
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ Gleb Bazov, banned from Twitter, referenced pretty heavily in what remains of pro-Russian Twitter.
https://t.me/asbmil ~ Now rebranded as Battlefield Insights, they do infrequent posts on the conflict.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/riafan_everywhere ~ Think it's a government news org or Federal News Agency? Russian language.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ Front news coverage. Russian langauge.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of the really big pro-Russian (except when they're being pessismistic, which is often) telegram channels focussing on the war. Russian language.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine
Any Western media outlet that is even vaguely liberal (and quite a few conservative ones too).
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Last week's discussion post.
Remember when Ukraine's SBU summarily executed one of its own peace negotiators for accusations of treason? It turns out he was using his connections to Russia in order to help Ukraine.
Like to such an extent that the head of Ukraine's military intelligence agency said this:
If it were not for Mr. Kiryeyev, most likely Kyiv would have been taken
Dude fucking saved their capital and that's what he got for it just days later. What the actual fuck.
I'm guessing his real crime was trying to help bring an end to the war.
Burkina Faso has officially demanded that France remove all troops from the country and that all ties with the French military are severed
:israel-cool: :sankara-shining:
An indicative list of all weapons and equipment that NATO countries intend to transfer to Ukraine in the near future:
🇬🇧 14 Challenger 2 tanks;
🇬🇧 600 Brimstone missiles;
🇬🇧 30 155mm AS90 SAU;
🇬🇧 200 BMPS/BTRS;
🇨🇦 200 Senator armored vehicles;
🇨🇦 1 NASAMS air defense battery;
🇵🇱 14 Leopard 2 tanks (most likely modification of A4);
🇺🇸 100 Bradley BMPs;
🇺🇸 100 M113 tracked APCs;
🇺🇸 18 155mm SAU M109A6;
🇺🇸 250 M1117 armored vehicles;
🇺🇸 138 HMMWV off-road vehicles;
🇺🇸 100 Stryker wheeled APCs;
🇺🇸 GLSDB ammunition;
🇺🇸 36 105mm howitzers;
🇺🇸 1 Patriot air defense/protection battery;
🇺🇸 6 Nasams air defense batteries;
🇺🇸 18 RSZOS;
🇫🇷 40 AMX-10RC wheeled tanks;
🇫🇷 Bastion armored vehicles;
🇮🇹🇫🇷 1 SAMP/T air defense/protection battery;
🇩🇰🇫🇷 Several 155mm Caesar wheeled gunships;
🇩🇪 40 Marder BMPs;
🇩🇪 1 Patriot air defense/protection battery;
🇩🇪 3 Iris-T air defense batteries + 3 TRML-4D radars;
🇩🇪 2 RADARS TRML-4D;
🇩🇪🇳🇴🇩🇰 16 Zuzana-2 155mm wheeled guns;
🇳🇱🇺🇸🇨🇿 120 T-72M tanks;
🇳🇱 1 Patriot air defense/protection battery;
🇸🇪 50 CV-90 BMPS;
🇸🇪12 155-mm Archer wheeled gunships;
🇨🇿26-30 152mm Dana-M2 wheeled gunships;
🇪🇪10 155 mm FH70 howitzers;
🇪🇪10 122mm D30 howitzers.
A whole new army, lol. This is like the third one already
When does Russia call a spade a spade? Proxy war, what does that even mean in this day and age? The West is actively participating in Ukrainian military operations.
I think they wont say or do anything for now as long as it remains at this small scale.
it is not worth starting WW3 over 10 or 20 tanks. I think for now the only "red line" would be explicit NATO troops in Ukraine, even though they're already there training and supporting Ukraine.
If I know one thing about war, it’s that you really want to have to train people on 40 separate weapons systems that all do the same thing but don’t have interchangeable personnel so that you can throw off your enemy
It's going to be a nightmare to keep those all supplied with proper ammunition and trained operators
Now would not be a bad time to blow the Dniper bridges. And it would be a pretty hilarious response to all this.
If this is anything like the PS3 game MAG then the devs already removed Russia's ability to blow up bridges
That would require a pretty huge offensive up north, which Ukraine should be more prepare now compare to the initial start of the war. The Russian should’ve have blown up the bridge but alas, naivety and the arrogant taken over the decision maker.
Ukraine is gonna blow thru all this equipment in a month, probably shorter considering the lack of trained personnel and the logistical nightmare of maintaining so many different systems
Obviously to weaken Russia military capability. So when this over, Russia probably gonna hybernate for a decade or two, that's when the american and it dogs will have free adventure on West Pac to face off against China.
I'm not talking about relationship though. I'm talking about military capability. When this war is over, the Russian have to rebuild and reform its military, and depend on how much loss they're going to take, it's might take a few years to decade to rebuild. Which would take them out of any potential future war in west pac if that happen. While for Iran, they just got a huge protest and having economic down turn, they can't help China much unless they want to take a stab at Israel.
The Russians have fought this war with militias, Chechens, and mercenaries with regular army units largely manning the artillery, the Russian military is stronger than it was a year ago, they have thousands of tanks, APCs, missiles, and artillery pieces
Russian military capability is expanding from an already enormous peacetime baseline, their economy shrugged off the sanctions and now 300,000 new reservists are about to complete training, the Russians won this war
Now if only the rest of Russia could do the same :back-to-me: , it's as if the kind Vladimir Ilyich was right again.
Especially for one that will undoubtedly have less close ties with the USSR itself
When this war is over, the Russian have to rebuild and reform its military, and depend on how much loss they’re going to take, it’s might take a few years to decade to rebuild.
It's kinda the opposite really. As the war goes on the Russia's army is working out its kinks and becoming more efficient and the government has/will ramp up production of weapons and train more personnel. They just announced they are increasing their troop numbers by 50%. Mass production of their latest jets and hypersonic missiles are under way. When/if the war in Ukraine ends Russia will be better equipped than before and will also have experienced soldiers.
The Russian's will be dusting off their old PTRS ant-tank rifles with all this light armor getting dumped on the Ukrainians. Honestly it'll probably be helpful for keeping troops safe from nearby artillery strikes and small arms fire when moving near the front lines. The 120 T-72M's will be nice as long as the western modernizations haven't made them too different to operate. All the various 155 and 152mm guns will help replace the losses of soviet artillery (which they can't get enough ammunition for), but it's going to be a nightmare tying to supply and maintain small numbers of so many different systems. It really looks like half the motivation here is to take advantage of the conflict to test all of these NATO weapons systems that haven't seen real peer-to-peer conflict.
Meta: Azov Regiment no longer meets criteria for dangerous organization on Facebook, Instagram
U.S. tech giant Meta, the owner of Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, no longer designates Ukraine’s Azov Regiment as a “dangerous organization.”
Azov Regiment is a unit of the National Guard of Ukraine formerly based in Mariupol, a Ukrainian port city now occupied by Russia. The group has sparked controversy over its alleged association with far-right groups – a recurring theme used by Russian propaganda.
Reminder that Azov has a habit of burning ethnic Russians and ethnic Jews alive after extensive torture sessions.
Facebook literally endorsing lynchings, murder, and torture here. This is so fucking disgusting.
I bet sharing the videos of their torture sessions would get me banned for “fake news” while the Nazi scum who do it just got an official endorsement.
Lula cleans out police force in 18 states :lula-bars:
President Lula starts his international agenda this weekend in Argentina and will visit the U.S. and China in March.
Brazil’s government made major changes to the Federal Police commands of 18 states on Thursday. 26 of the 27 Federal Highway Police superintendents were also dismissed.
Leandro Almada, with the Federal Police since 2008, will take over the Rio de Janeiro superintendence. He was responsible for the inquiry into the attempt to obstructed the investigation into the death of councilor Marielle Franco and Anderson Gomes.
Almada’s investigation concluded that military police officers tried to disrupt investigations into Marielle’s killing.
Among those dismissed at the Federal Highway Police in Bahia, was Virgilio de Paula Tourinho who was summoned by the Electoral Justice during the runoff election due to operations that made it difficult for voters to cast their ballots in the PT stronghold state.
The changes were published in the Official Gazette on Wednesday night.
Lula had already made changes to the Federal District’s police structure on January 8th, following the attacks on the Planalto Palace, National Congress and Supreme Court.
:surprised-pika: liberals when there are still problems in society even after they made an acknowledgement that said problems exist
Holy shit the news that China is donating $100 million to Cuba has me so hyped with positivity and optimism
:party-sicko:
Accidentally got a look at normie news.
So Putin is dead now and Russia is out of missiles again?
Russia is conducting a fairly wide-ranging series of attacks across the Zaporozhye front. Currently unsure if these are just positional in order to occupy better positions and fortify them for Ukraine's offensive that they will presumably perform there in a couple months, or if this is an actual offensive (I can't imagine Surovikin or Gerasimov is going to make a statement like "Wahey, the winter offensive you've all been waiting for begins now, on the Zaporozhye front!").
Worth noting that MoA and others agree that this is the most plausible place for Russia to do an offensive from, given the pre-existing railroads and the fact that it can easily go north and east to encircle the Donbass strongholds, as well as eventually go west to take Zaporozhye city itself. Having an offensive up near Kharkov is also technically possible but supply lines are harder, and also there's just not really much there (much of the pro-Russian population was already evacuated and they'd have to surround and take the city, which is a major amount of equipment to commit). And an offensive from Belarus is also technically possible but the border is a swampy mess with plenty of rivers to get caught on, and now covered with Ukrainian fortifications.
Despite the fatal doomerism of the pro-Russian side (me included), we've forgotten how the Ukrainian side goes into an even stronger doomer mode. They lose one strategic mid-sized town and now they're suddenly saying that all of Ukraine is gone if they don't get tanks and all Ukrainians will basically be genocided if the Germans don't send guns. The most interesting thing for me is how the both sides view the leadership when a major defeat happens. Russian social media directly blames the whole leadership all the way to Putin and basically calls him a weak pussy, they are also very harsh and critical towards the military establishment all the time. Remember, this is tyrannical dictatorship Russia where you don't have freedom of speech. "Democratic" Ukraine on the other hand never blames the leadership and keeps pointing to a lack of Western support or weird conspiracy theories about traitors or infiltration. Z-man and Zaluzhny somehow never get the blame from the wider social media sphere.
Z-man and Zaluzhny somehow never get the blame from the wider social media sphere.
Oh I'm sure just we aren't translating what the nazis are saying about their president in their own language
I'm legitimately waiting for a Russian "Haters Draft" bill where you get sent to the front regardless of age or sex it you criticize Russian military leadership. It would be very funny, specifically towards the people criticizing them for being pussies.
its completly PR-Brained strategy, those are 3 generations of Inzest created "Kicking the Can down the Road and find a PR Strategy" Failsons that rule us , and sending 10 Tanks is exactly that...
Genuinely hilarious how if you search “Zaporizhzhia” on Twitter (Ukrainian spelling) vs “Zaporozhye” (Russian spelling) you get two entirely different stories in regards to what is happening in that front of the war.
