You're vastly underestimating kids ability to sideload and run jacked apps. They already fucking know how to do it because they're all continuing to run Fortnite on their Apple phones despite it being removed. Most kids I know already know how to run a free vpn.
I really think you're strongly underestimating them. You're absolutely right about the profit driven creators dropping off, but I don't think they're just going to shut the app down, I think Tencent will accept running it at a loss for a few years to see how the situation evolves, they run tonnes of products at a loss. The alternative (reels) will obviously still blast off with users, for-profit content and take center stage but I think tiktok will keep ticking along. there'll be complete staff cutbacks in the US though, a shame as they were planning to expand to 10k US based employees before this kicked off.
Yes, 1% of the 100 million users might be able to do that, but if 1% are able to access the app (and those certainly aren't the creators doing it) then it will die.
We can just wait and see in a month, but it's obvious what will happen if things go forward like they are set to.
You're vastly underestimating kids ability to sideload and run jacked apps. They already fucking know how to do it because they're all continuing to run Fortnite on their Apple phones despite it being removed. Most kids I know already know how to run a free vpn.
I really think you're strongly underestimating them. You're absolutely right about the profit driven creators dropping off, but I don't think they're just going to shut the app down, I think Tencent will accept running it at a loss for a few years to see how the situation evolves, they run tonnes of products at a loss. The alternative (reels) will obviously still blast off with users, for-profit content and take center stage but I think tiktok will keep ticking along. there'll be complete staff cutbacks in the US though, a shame as they were planning to expand to 10k US based employees before this kicked off.
Yes, 1% of the 100 million users might be able to do that, but if 1% are able to access the app (and those certainly aren't the creators doing it) then it will die.
We can just wait and see in a month, but it's obvious what will happen if things go forward like they are set to.