in the last few days Iranian officials confirmed that are going to retaliate. I am convinced they are just waiting till after the us navy decides that they aren't going to do anything and fucks off because its fucking expensive keeping all their ships in the area.

I would refrain from making any predictions on what the Axis of Resistance will or won't do in the future

They have access to a lot more information than we do and are acting in the most efficient way they can

I don't buy into the doomerism regarding the Iranian response simply because I believe Iran is competent and knows how to accomplish it's goals most effectively according to the greater amount of knowledge it has of the situation on the ground and is probably acting in such a way as to not potentially escalate the situation where it would put the lives of even more people at risk than now

I think Iran will, when they're ready to, I wouldn't doubt Iran. Here a recent article concerning this to.

Israel shouldn’t doubt Iran’s resolve to retaliate: Top military official https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/09/05/732691/Iran-military-official-warning-Israel-response-Hamas-leader-assassination

and some highlights from it

A ranking Iranian military official says the Israeli regime should not doubt the Islamic Republic’s resolve to retaliate over the regime’s assassination of senior Palestinian resistance leader, Ismail Haniyeh, which took place in Tehran in late July.

The Iranian Armed Forces’ Deputy Chief of Staff for Coordination, Brigadier General Ali Abdollahi made the remarks during a ceremony in the northwestern Iranian city of Koumeleh on Wednesday.

“The Zionist regime should not dream that Iran would not respond to this atrocity...because the Islamic Republic has [already] proven its will to deploy all its capacities towards responding to enemies’ violation of its soil and waters,” he said.

The official quoted remarks made by Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei following the assassination, in which the Leader pledged that the Islamic Republic would deliver a “harsh response” to the atrocity.

“The time of the response, however, will be determined by the Leader and the country’s senior commanders,” Abdollahi noted.

If Iran can make Israel exist in a state of constant military readiness (at least, as "ready" as any IOF school shooter can be) it will be damaging to their morale and after a while they won't even be particularly "ready" because they've been on high alert for months. Keeping the retaliation hanging over Israel's head also puts pressure on the settlers with constant fear of the Iranian response. The longer they draw it out, the worse it is for Israel.

edit: check out this lecture @Al_Sham posted https://hexbear.net/comment/5343509

One of the points that stuck with me is that Israel has to pay reservists the equivalent of their normal salary at their jobs when they're on active duty. Being forced to have a huge number of reservists on active duty is draining their military budget badly.

It still seems pretty baked in that Iran is going to retaliate. It's likely a mixture of wanting Israel to remain on expensive high alert to bleed them both in terms of money, equipment, and morale, and also because it would be extremely irresponsible for Iran to not prepare for Israel and the US escalating even further from their response (they don't want to be caught off-guard, their defence forces have to be ready and they have to prepare their ability to activate a regional war and hit US military bases if Iranian cities start getting bombed, etc), and preparations for outright war often take weeks for countries to execute.

But I do understand the doomerism here even if I don't indulge in it. It's one thing to patiently wait for a Russian response to some big Ukrainian attack or atrocity on the grounds that attrition has been the guiding strategy of the Russian command for years now, because the "only" people losing their lives in large numbers are soldiers. It's another thing to patiently wait for an Iranian response to an Israeli attack or atrocity - even if you understand that anti-colonial wars are often ones of bleeding dry and outlasting the settler force - knowing that every week that goes by, hundreds and hundreds more Palestinian civilians are bombed or starve or die from diseases.

Reply comes Jan 20th so international news flicks away from inauguration.

Sorry comrades just feeling down on it