Is it pretty much over for Trump?
Removed by modFeels pretty hopeless. He is losing in every swing state at the moment, and he seems to be running a campaign as bad as Hillary's. I really do not see how he can bounce back. Kamala is by now means a good candidate, and will be a terrible president. A "normie" repub would be winning right now, no? It really just seemed like a great opportunity for him to win and he's just fumbling the bag hard.
Am I wrong? Is there a path to victory for our boy?
I mean that would be funny, but the polls say otherwise. Trump has been running an absolutely god awful campaign.
I am not sure that mods will even see this, but it was a bit and I don't think it should have been taken down. I feel like if I was even more on the nose it would have been taken down for that reason... Am I missing something here?
Regardless of how the campaign actually goes, it's going to be a coin flip. There are almost no "swing voters" left. There's virtually nothing that can make anybody switch support, and Trump is a known quantity. It's basically entirely in Kamala's court: if she can get enough folks to come out and vote for her amongst the people who don't vote, she wins. If she can't, she loses. Regardless of what Trump does his voter base is already locked in.
I agree nobody's really flipping from D to R or vice versa, but do you really think trump doesn't also have to gin up some excitement to bring out his base? his recent rizzlessness seems like it could get some of the hogs who like him to go back to not voting
But yeah. the majority of movement is on the dem side this year. Trump isn't doing himself any favors but he could still win if they fumble the PR cycle hard enough
His base isn't watching his current rizzlessness, they're consuming old Trump content or the idealized picture in their minds of Trump. Material reality is secondary to spectacle. It's the same with Kamala; she's a blank slate, an entity of pure projection.
But I remember back in 2016; the hogs were oinking excitedly, now they seem sad and and uninterested.
Yeah, this is pretty much it. There's nothing that can really damage his reputation. Nobody has anything to throw at him or say about him that will change their minds. I think it really just depends on dems turnout on voting day
This is why we need to put maximum pressure on her in regards to Gaza. If there’s anytime that democrats can actually be pushed left it’s now.
The Democrats will never be pushed to the left on Gaza. The genocide will continue unabated. The quicker folks abandon this fantasy of "pushing them left" the more time we have to construct something different, or at least contribute to the end of this godforsaken polity.
Putting pressure on dems for being reactionaries and demonstrating to the public how committed they are to being reactionary is good, actually
Agreed, but that's a very different thing than trying to "push them left" that will inevitable involve very different tactics and pressures.
that's never going to happen, they're an explicitly genocidal party.
you vastly overestimate how much Democrats actually want to win and govern. They do not give a shit. If anything they make far more donor money when they're the underdogs than when they're winning.
i don't know where you've been for the past 50 years, but Democrats don't learn lessons. If they lose because a bunch of people withhold their votes over Gaza, then the Dems will simply blame the left like always. They did it in 2000, they did it in 2016, they were preemptively doing it in 2020 before they won.