While I've honestly been trying to tune out the election shit, I was streaming the world series feed (through completely legal means I can assure you) from a Fox station in Florida. Much to my dismay, I was completely bombarded by these ads saying Trump supports amendement 3 which would legalize weed in the state. I scroll on social media for like 5 mins later on and I see this fucker on Joe Rogan.
Its a pretty clear attempt at targeting independent socially moderate/liberalish fiscally conservative independent bros that, honestly exist and could decide the election if its close. All while Kamala is really leaning into winning over "dick cheney democrats" that dont exist outside of focus groups in the beltway.
Im calling it now. Trumps winning again.
I honestly don't know about the trans/immigration thing. Even in a time where people are being bombarded with propaganda, there's still broad support for trans people's right not to be discriminated https://www.pewresearch.org/social-trends/2022/06/28/americans-complex-views-on-gender-identity-and-transgender-issues/
I think if people were actually educated about medical transition, then they'd support that too.
Migration is more difficult. I can only find studies of dem/gop-voters and I'll give you that most of them are ghouls. According to another PEW study more than half think the "border crisis" has been handled badly https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/06/06/immigration-attitudes-and-the-2024-election/
There's lots of issues with these studies and I don't think the US is in any way non-ghoulish, but I don't think it's as dire as you describe