https://subium.com/profile/purelyrick.bsky.social/post/3lbpp7swe3c2m

    • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
      hexagon
      ·
      11 hours ago

      I forgot all about that guy and his keys! I googled.

      'I admit I was wrong': Allan Lichtman explains why his election prediction failed

      • Lichtman attributed the inaccurate prediction to factors like disdain for the Biden administration and Harris' late campaign start.

      • Despite the miss, Lichtman stands by his "13 Keys to the White House" system, emphasizing its long-term accuracy.

      • He also criticized Nate Silver's polling-based prediction model, suggesting it relied heavily on chance.

      Buy my book! It will help you predict a coin flip. Perhaps wrongly but still...!

      This made me laugh.

      "I don't think I called any (keys) wrong," Lichtman said. "The contest key was rendered problematic by what went on by the Democratic Party but I don't think you can say I called it wrong except for in retrospect. At the time it was the more reasonable call."

      I'm stealing "render problematic" and "[My logic was not wrong]" and "I don't think you can say I called it wrong except [in] retrospect".

        • InevitableSwing [none/use name]
          hexagon
          ·
          11 hours ago

          Look, the keys are still good and it's the locks that are wrong - if your spouse throws you out of the house and changes the locks because America is shacking up with Trump.

      • barrbaric [he/him]
        ·
        11 hours ago

        Hey, it worked for Reagan:

        My heart and my best intentions still tell me that's true. But the facts and evidence tell me it is not

        • GrouchyGrouse [he/him]
          ·
          10 hours ago

          One of the most brazen things I ever heard. It is mind blowing that he weathered that scandal while his brain was turning into cheese

    • Dessa [she/her]
      ·
      9 hours ago

      That's why Kamala is my Shoe-In of the Week!

      Show