Image is of container ships waiting outside the canal. While there is usually some number of ships waiting for passage, the number has increased significantly lately.


In order to move ships through the Panama Canal, water is needed to fill the locks. The water comes from freshwater lakes, which are replenished by rainfall. This rainfall hasn't been coming, and Lake Gatun, the largest one, is at near record low levels.

Hundreds of ships are now in a maritime traffic jam, unable to cross the canal quickly. Panama is attempting to conserve water and have reduced the number of transits by 20% per day, among other measures. The Canal's adminstrators have warned that these drought conditions will remain for at least 10 months.

It is unlikely that global supply chains will be catastrophically affected, at least this year. Costs may increase for consumers in the coming months, especially for Christmas, but by and large goods will continue to flow, around South America if need be. Nonetheless, projecting trends over the coming years and decades, you can imagine how this is yet another nudge by climate change towards dramatic economic, environmental, and political impacts on the world at large. It also might prompt discussions inside various governments about nearshoring, and the general vulnerability of global supply chains - especially as the United States tries, bafflingly, to go to war with China.


After some discussion in the last megathread about building knowledge of geopolitics, some of us thought it might be an interesting idea to have a Country of the Week - essentially, I/we choose a country and then people can come in here and chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants, related to that country. More detail in this comment.

Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

Okay, look, I got a little carried away. Monday's update usually covers the preceding Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, but I went ahead and did all of last week. If people like a more weekly structure then I might try that instead, if not, then I'll go back to the Mon-Wed-Fri schedule.

Links and Stuff

The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


    • skeletorsass [she/her]
      ·
      edit-2
      10 months ago

      The original price is stealing. This is a colonial price. So below value it is a joke.

      • VILenin [he/him]
        ·
        10 months ago

        squidward-nervous Euros when they can’t loot and pillage their way to “””prosperity”””

        Why don’t they use some of their superior ubermensch brain cells to logic themselves out of this?

        • jackmarxist [any]
          ·
          10 months ago

          Their ubermensch giga brain solution would be to just invade Niger. That's all they can do now since a coup seems to be out of question for some time.

        • RyanGosling [none/use name]
          ·
          10 months ago

          They will simply coup the country and find some stooge who will democratically revert the price back to 3 cents per 1 ton

      • aaaaaaadjsf [he/him, comrade/them]
        ·
        10 months ago

        Yeah the original price was just standard European theft, the new price is apparently equivalent to how much Canada's neocolonial mining industry pays for uranium.

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]
      hexagon
      M
      ·
      10 months ago

      That original price honestly makes me fucking angry. Macron and his predecessors who allowed that situation to develop are such fucking worms. The centrist position is to send all of them to the Hague.

      • cynesthesia
        ·
        edit-2
        8 months ago

        deleted by creator

        • VILenin [he/him]
          ·
          10 months ago

          Perfectly normal system where people that aren’t you mine land that’s not yours for resources and the money goes to you.

          Anyway, this must be the western racial garden the liberals worship so much.

          • cynesthesia
            ·
            edit-2
            8 months ago

            deleted by creator

            • VILenin [he/him]
              ·
              10 months ago

              Liberals struggle to justify this with something other than their rabid racism so they just spew out thought-terminating cliches instead

    • IceWallowCum [he/him]
      ·
      10 months ago

      Show this previous price whenever someone says "what they have on Europe" is what we the world should strive for.

      Pretty fucking easy being a social heaven when you just steal all the resources you need to sustain it

      • VILenin [he/him]
        ·
        10 months ago

        The problem with emulating Europe’s example is that you’ll eventually run out of other countries to murder and loot

        • RyanGosling [none/use name]
          ·
          10 months ago

          That’s why you murder and loot each other’s countries! Let’s give WWI another try, for old time’s sake

    • SaniFlush [any, any]
      ·
      10 months ago

      Good for them, I hope they use that money to give everyone in Niger the standards of living they deserve.

    • edge [he/him]
      ·
      10 months ago

      As a rough estimate, uranium typically sells for around: $50 to $100 per kilogram for natural uranium ore with a low concentration/grade of uranium. This is typically sold as "yellowcake" after chemical processing. $300 to $500 per kilogram for higher grade uranium concentrate suitable for use as nuclear fuel.

      So at worst it’s worth $50/kg and they were being forced to sell it for $0.86/kg.

    • flan [they/them]
      ·
      10 months ago

      france was paying them €0.80/kg? According to FRED the spot price for uranium is €92/kg (ish). jesus-christ