Were easily heading for 4 to 6 degrees of warming the pace we're going and the fact that the US is unwilling to slow down.
Like, agriculture on a civilizational scale is just... not going to be possible by 2100. Any gains in agriculture we could get from an extended growing season further north will be fucked by inclement weather (too much flooding/dryness during planting too much flooding during harvest). The area between the tropics will be a no-go zone for people - if you cross through it you will die of heat because it will be at the wet-bulb temperature year-round. Almost every coastal area flooded, which means essentially every city. Billions of people displaced.
Its not an exaggeration to say fallout style complete collapse of civilization. But that would be 2100, the road to that looks like neo-feudalistic eco fascism like Children of Men.
This is preventable and we can change things, but the timeline is constricting and we can't do it under capitalism. We must have a revolution by the end of the decade or there is little hope for humanity as a technological species in a global society.
This. I have close pretty much 0 hope for actual systemic change, but to avoid terminal doomer thoughts I like to tell myself that we have a decent amount of time to advance technology to fight climate change.
Were easily heading for 4 to 6 degrees of warming the pace we're going and the fact that the US is unwilling to slow down.
Like, agriculture on a civilizational scale is just... not going to be possible by 2100. Any gains in agriculture we could get from an extended growing season further north will be fucked by inclement weather (too much flooding/dryness during planting too much flooding during harvest). The area between the tropics will be a no-go zone for people - if you cross through it you will die of heat because it will be at the wet-bulb temperature year-round. Almost every coastal area flooded, which means essentially every city. Billions of people displaced.
Its not an exaggeration to say fallout style complete collapse of civilization. But that would be 2100, the road to that looks like neo-feudalistic eco fascism like Children of Men.
This is preventable and we can change things, but the timeline is constricting and we can't do it under capitalism. We must have a revolution by the end of the decade or there is little hope for humanity as a technological species in a global society.
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This. I have close pretty much 0 hope for actual systemic change, but to avoid terminal doomer thoughts I like to tell myself that we have a decent amount of time to advance technology to fight climate change.
realistically well before that point capital will force radical geo-engineering attempts on us.
Probably not with good results.