If it goes down to the wire and needs verification from their courts, wouldn't the left be fucked anyways because there was basically a right-wing judicial coup in Ecuador in the last few years?
I’m not sure Arauz will win against Perez in the runoff. He certainly would have beaten Lasso, but all of the Lasso voters from first round will be going to Perez. That would already bring Perez up to close to 40% to Arauz 32%. I’m not sure how the votees for the other candidates would break between Arauz and Perez.
Yeah my experience with Lasso voters is that they are above all anti-correistas and would vote for anybody to stop Arauz. The ones I know were voting for Lasso over any of the other 15 candidates in the first round because they were worried that the split vote would lead to Arauz winning in the first round
Keep in mind I’m not Ecuadorian, but I’ve spent a decent amount of time there and know a lot of Ecuadorians, I was there during the protests. The Lasso voters I know are primarily against Correismo. They hate Correa, they believe all of the many fabricated criminal charges against him are true, they believe if Arauz wins he will turn the country into “another Venezuela”. They take their cues from right wing private media, even some of the Ecuadorian Americans I know who are liberal voters in the US are willing to vote for right wingers in Ecuador to stop Correa from coming back.
There is definitely some racism from these people against the indigenous. During the protests when Jaime Nebot (the right wing mayor of Guayaquil) said the natives should go back to the jungle I remember these people defending it as not racist “that is where they came from after all”. But their anti-socialist indoctrination outweighs the racism in my opinion, and they’ll be voting for Yaku.
Voting is also “mandatory” so even when the populace is fairly apathetic about the choices being offered, as is the case this year, turnout is high anyway so I wouldn’t count on the Lasso voters simply abstaining.
Hoping Arauz can still pull it out. Would have been much easier to beat Lasso imo since probably at least half of the Perez voters in the first round would have gone to Arauz in the second
If it goes down to the wire and needs verification from their courts, wouldn't the left be fucked anyways because there was basically a right-wing judicial coup in Ecuador in the last few years?
Yes, sadly
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I’m not sure Arauz will win against Perez in the runoff. He certainly would have beaten Lasso, but all of the Lasso voters from first round will be going to Perez. That would already bring Perez up to close to 40% to Arauz 32%. I’m not sure how the votees for the other candidates would break between Arauz and Perez.
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Yeah my experience with Lasso voters is that they are above all anti-correistas and would vote for anybody to stop Arauz. The ones I know were voting for Lasso over any of the other 15 candidates in the first round because they were worried that the split vote would lead to Arauz winning in the first round
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Keep in mind I’m not Ecuadorian, but I’ve spent a decent amount of time there and know a lot of Ecuadorians, I was there during the protests. The Lasso voters I know are primarily against Correismo. They hate Correa, they believe all of the many fabricated criminal charges against him are true, they believe if Arauz wins he will turn the country into “another Venezuela”. They take their cues from right wing private media, even some of the Ecuadorian Americans I know who are liberal voters in the US are willing to vote for right wingers in Ecuador to stop Correa from coming back.
There is definitely some racism from these people against the indigenous. During the protests when Jaime Nebot (the right wing mayor of Guayaquil) said the natives should go back to the jungle I remember these people defending it as not racist “that is where they came from after all”. But their anti-socialist indoctrination outweighs the racism in my opinion, and they’ll be voting for Yaku.
Voting is also “mandatory” so even when the populace is fairly apathetic about the choices being offered, as is the case this year, turnout is high anyway so I wouldn’t count on the Lasso voters simply abstaining.
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The ultimate dream is they all become Venezuela and form a USSR out of the entire continent haha
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Haha I love it!
communist Gran Colombia when
Hoping Arauz can still pull it out. Would have been much easier to beat Lasso imo since probably at least half of the Perez voters in the first round would have gone to Arauz in the second
Lasso is in front of Perez again in the count!