Second cold war will see sporadic Climate/Resource conflict (like Syria). Eventually less stable states will collapse. Honestly I would predict more civil wars/ refugees (again like Syria) than actual nation vs. nation wars (haven't had a large one since Iran-Iraq, which is interesting to research if you have time).
Honestly I would predict more civil wars/ refugees (again like Syria) than actual nation vs. nation wars
I think this is correct, but I think it would be a mistake to undersell (what I perceive to be) some inevitable major regional conflicts.
I'm thinking like Scramble for Africa 2.0 between "Eastern" and Western spheres of influence for Africa (which we're seeing the beginnings of already) LATAM and the smaller Asiatic states currently caught between the two powers like Pakistan and Vietnam.
Second cold war will see sporadic Climate/Resource conflict (like Syria). Eventually less stable states will collapse. Honestly I would predict more civil wars/ refugees (again like Syria) than actual nation vs. nation wars (haven't had a large one since Iran-Iraq, which is interesting to research if you have time).
I think this is correct, but I think it would be a mistake to undersell (what I perceive to be) some inevitable major regional conflicts.
I'm thinking like Scramble for Africa 2.0 between "Eastern" and Western spheres of influence for Africa (which we're seeing the beginnings of already) LATAM and the smaller Asiatic states currently caught between the two powers like Pakistan and Vietnam.
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