Edit: Yes, I know Trump won by a slim margin in 2016.
But look, I live here and I can tell you that even in the more urban areas there are still tons of enthusiastic boomer voters with signs for Trump while there's barely any notice of Biden.
Considering this website used blue Florida for all but one of it's maps I'd say their overall odds are quite off.
Not just one election. Florida went pretty solidly red during the 2018 midterm. They elected a republican governor and senator while the rest of the country was flipping the house for the democrats. That was just a couple months after a hurricane flattened a bunch of towns and Trump failed to respond.
In 2018, during their wave year, Democrats picked up 2 house seats, but lost the popular vote by a wide margin. They also lost the governor's race and Senate race by slim margins. I wouldn't write off Florida entirely, since the statewide races were very close, but the midterms were a bad omen for 2020.
Well that's all I am saying. People are acting like Florida is fucking Alabama or something. It has gone blue many, many times in the past. Including only two presidential elections ago.
I also don't buy that gubernatorial elections are in any way a useful predictor for presidential elections.
The beautiful thing about this is since the candidate who ran for governor was further left than usual for Florida Democrats, whether Biden wins or loses Florida the Democratic Party there will have an excuse to make a turn to the right.
Trump just barely won the state in 2016, Obama won it twice and it's being completely fucked by COVID which doesn't bode well for the GOP. I don't get why it's such a stretch?
Right, I understand the reasoning why people think it will go red, I just don't understand why people think it will take a miracle to go blue. Even if Trump wins it again it won't be by much.
THEY THINK FLORIDA WILL GO BLUE
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH
Edit: Yes, I know Trump won by a slim margin in 2016.
But look, I live here and I can tell you that even in the more urban areas there are still tons of enthusiastic boomer voters with signs for Trump while there's barely any notice of Biden.
Considering this website used blue Florida for all but one of it's maps I'd say their overall odds are quite off.
For every progressive voter from Miami we lose, we'll pick up two moderate Republicans in the suburbs of Tampa and Orlando.
Trump beat Clinton 49% to 47.8% in Florida. That does not seem like an insurmountable amount
Not saying Biden would win but not like it's Alabama
Weird that people think Florida and Ohio are permanently red states because of one single election.
Not just one election. Florida went pretty solidly red during the 2018 midterm. They elected a republican governor and senator while the rest of the country was flipping the house for the democrats. That was just a couple months after a hurricane flattened a bunch of towns and Trump failed to respond.
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In 2018, during their wave year, Democrats picked up 2 house seats, but lost the popular vote by a wide margin. They also lost the governor's race and Senate race by slim margins. I wouldn't write off Florida entirely, since the statewide races were very close, but the midterms were a bad omen for 2020.
Well that's all I am saying. People are acting like Florida is fucking Alabama or something. It has gone blue many, many times in the past. Including only two presidential elections ago.
I also don't buy that gubernatorial elections are in any way a useful predictor for presidential elections.
The beautiful thing about this is since the candidate who ran for governor was further left than usual for Florida Democrats, whether Biden wins or loses Florida the Democratic Party there will have an excuse to make a turn to the right.
Trump just barely won the state in 2016, Obama won it twice and it's being completely fucked by COVID which doesn't bode well for the GOP. I don't get why it's such a stretch?
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Right, I understand the reasoning why people think it will go red, I just don't understand why people think it will take a miracle to go blue. Even if Trump wins it again it won't be by much.