CanYouFeelItMrKrabs [any, he/him] to main • 4 years ago538 gives Trump a 30% chance of winningexternal-linkmessage-square149 fedilinkarrow-up1109file-text
arrow-up1109external-link538 gives Trump a 30% chance of winningCanYouFeelItMrKrabs [any, he/him] to main • 4 years agomessage-square149 Commentsfedilinkfile-text
minus-squarebudoguytenkaichi [he/him,they/them]hexbear43arrow-down1·4 years ago2016: "lol Trump's obviously a fuckin' idiot, he'll never win." 2020: "lol Trump's obviously a fuckin' idiot, he'll never win." link
minus-squarejack [he/him, comrade/them]hexbear10·4 years agoI don't think 30% = "He'll never win". It's probably more like "He'll win 30% of the time". link
minus-squarespectre [he/him]hexbear11·4 years agoYep, 538 gave him a 30pct chance in 2016 too, and as much as a dope Nate and Co are at interpreting their numbers, I think they were accurate then, and might be now (though there are more factors at play in 2020. link
minus-squareVernetheJules [they/them]hexbear7·4 years agoWtf is 2016? Some kind of liberal fake news? link
minus-squareuwu [she/her]hexbear10·4 years ago2016 was a scam made up by Russia to sell more calendars. link
2016: "lol Trump's obviously a fuckin' idiot, he'll never win."
2020: "lol Trump's obviously a fuckin' idiot, he'll never win."
I don't think 30% = "He'll never win". It's probably more like "He'll win 30% of the time".
Yep, 538 gave him a 30pct chance in 2016 too, and as much as a dope Nate and Co are at interpreting their numbers, I think they were accurate then, and might be now (though there are more factors at play in 2020.
Wtf is 2016? Some kind of liberal fake news?
2016 was a scam made up by Russia to sell more calendars.