Image is of Azerbaijan's President, Aliyev (left) and Armenia's President, Pashinyan (right) in a meeting a month or two after Azerbaijan took Nagorno-Karabakh.
- Never go to a second location.
- Always get the interior ministry post.
- Never get in a helicopter or any small aircraft.
- If someone with a gun enters your car, they’re gonna kill you.
- If someone tells you they’re not going to kill you, they’re calming you down to kill you later.
- Never give up your nukes.
- Never release the opposition's political prisoners.
- Never let the opposition delay elections.
- If someone starts to get into German runes, drop them.
- Never trust a South American with a German name.
- Never move anywhere for a religion.
- Never go into the sewers unless you’re a sewer guy.
- If someone’s trying to get you to commit a crime, they're FBI (sometimes CIA or military intelligence).
- Never become an FBI informant.
- If you do become an FBI informant, record everything.
- Never relinquish your arms.
- Always get it in writing.
- If you keep gambling, you’ll eventually win.
- Never talk to cops without a lawyer.
- Always pay your mercenaries.
- Don’t let anyone take your passport.
To add an addendum to rule 3, never put your President and Foreign Minister in the same helicopter or small aircraft. Especially if doing so in bad weather conditions. Especially if you're already under threat from a hostile nuclear power in the region with a proclivity for terrorism (though this probably isn't Israel's doing, in this particular case).
Anyway, Azerbaijan. Not a great country, I think. Did some genocides. They're a petrostate that is hosting Cop29, which I suppose is a way for the bourgeoisie to implicitly convey their contempt for the green movement. They got weapons from Israel, too.
Just for the record, there's an Iranian province called East Azerbaijan, which is not the same as Azerbaijan.
The COTW (Country of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific country every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied nations. If you've wanted to talk about the country or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any country.
The Country of the Week is Azerbaijan! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
There’s a not unreasonable chance that the presidential election is a tie, based on current polls.
Trump has a few points lead in Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada. That puts him at 268. Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are much closer. If Biden wins those he’d be at 269. Finally Trump is a couple points up in Nebraska’s second, which would put him also at 269.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/yPJ8v
I hope that happens, it would probably be the funniest outcome.
goddamn i hope this happens. feels like one of those things that could have an outsized impact on history. like just by chance the implosion of the US empire could be significantly sped along
Death to America
I honestly want to see this happen just so I can spend a year reading all the blog posts and think piece articles from former "any blue will do" and "just vvoooottteee" people talking about how "maybe this democracy thing isn't all that great".
what happens in that case?
Congress decides it
In gommunist China...
Trial by combat
Either the electors in the electoral college vote in a way other than how they are supposed to vote in order to break the tie, or the EC has a tie and the newly-elected House of Representatives votes on who gets to be president and the newly-elected Senate picks the vice president.
And each state delegation gets one vote.
And there’s no tie breaker, either per state or for the overall result. 25/25? No winner, vote again. 25/24 and the last state is tied? No winner, vote again.
In the 1800 election there were 35 identical ballots until they finally made some deal and picked Jefferson.
Edit: and if the Senate is 50/50, which is reasonably could be, and neither can decide before January 20th, Mike Johnson (or Hakeem Jeffries, but lol) becomes acting president.
But I don’t think the House would tie like that. At a glance it seems like Republicans probably have the majority of seats in more than 25 states.
The House has until March 4th, and if they don't pick someone, then whoever the Senate elected VP becomes President.
January 20th. March 4th was the old presidential inauguration date. But if neither could decide, then on January 20th the Speaker of the House would become acting president.
If the House is stuck but the Senate picks a VP, that VP is acting president from January 20th until the House makes a decision.
The 20th Amendment is what’s relevant here, not anything the original Constitution says.
Why are there so many well-established rules for these elaborate thought experiments?
Imagine the hell if it came to that and there weren’t such rules.
The first time a president died in office, there was a controversy over whether the VP became president or was just acting president. That was relatively tame compared to the idea of not knowing who is even supposed to be president or acting president.
I see it very programmatically. And programming for edge cases can be important, especially when the stakes are so high.
Considering the 20th was passed in 1933, we actually went a long time with no established plan for that.
Do they have to pick from the VP's already chosen by the Presidential candidates or can they appoint a VP?
Just asking for a friend....
I soooooo wanna see how many Democratic representatives would vote for Trump.
they should solve it with a match of chess boxing
Really showcase the mental and physical peak that America's politicians are in
Did you ever see the movie Face/Off with John Travolta and Nicolas Cage? That’s exactly what happens in the event of a tie.
Funniest outcome is this tie, and then it is broken after Biden agrees to be Trump's VP.
Might be TOO mask-off, though. They'd probably just "compromise" on RFK instead.
Biden will "reach across the aisle" and appoint Trump VP.
I was thinking Biden is clearly the sub. But yeah, something like that. LOL.
me watching from my makeshift bunker
Amber.